Rest of Europe
Up until now our weather has been fairly quiet despite being Atlantic influenced. This quiet spell is all about to change as we head through the all important Christmas week. Waves of frigid arctic air are sweeping off North America out over the Atlantic is firing a super charged jet stream, helping develop lows into major storm systems. Ireland and […]
The polar vortex has been weak but is now in a state of recover at 10mb over the next 10 days. This coincides with a positive AO/NAO as we go through the 2nd half of December. This correlates to a more zonal hemispheric flow pattern and so North America and Europe become strongly influenced by Pacific and Atlantic. Enjoy the […]
As forecast, central and eastern Turkey has been hammered by a major snowstorm and now it’s all about the bitter cold following in it’s wake as surface pressure builds to 1030mb. GFS snow cover. A solid 15-30, locally 40″ on the ground within the mountains of the east. Incredible snow scenes. Bingol, E Turkey High pressure […]
Up until now, our Atlantic pattern has been rather subdued, largely down to a strong blocking high over Europe combined with weak to modest strength jet which has been easy to split on approach the Ireland. However, it looks like things are about to liven up during next week as arctic wave 3 of 3 descends upon the eastern […]
Live in the UK or Ireland and wondering where winter is, well there’s plenty of it over the continent. We’ve a big high dominating with Siberian air trapped beneath. With HP to the east and LP to the west, the UK finds itself trapped under a mild, moist southerly flow with little eastward progression in this dreary […]
The GFS ensemble continues to show the large warm pool at 50hpa shifting from Northern Greenland to Scandinavia and towards the northern Europe-Asia border by day 10. This would be a similar position to what we saw back in October-November. This to me reflects a Scandinavia high pressure blocking pattern. Favourable for at least some easterly flow […]
It’s simple, Western Europe has been bathing in mild air and shall continue to do so through at least the next 5 days while Eastern and Southeastern Europe remains cold with lows feeding in Siberian brand air. However, the GFS operational and other models suggest somewhat of a flip coming in the medium range. GFS meteogram for Moscow shows a cold trend and […]
The weather may be relatively unexciting here in Western Europe these days but it’s a very different story in the East. In the last 48 hours, a major snowstorm has all but crippled the Murmansk area of far NW Russia as mild, moist Atlantic air has crossed Germany, Poland and bumped up against the wall of […]
Given the quiet nature of this December, I thought it would be good to look back at the same period a year ago and how very different our weather was… ARTICLE FROM THE MET OFFICE Heavy rainfall from Friday 4 to Sunday 6 December led to widespread flooding in Cumbria and across other parts of […]
From October to early December, cold has favoured Eurasia while it left North America out. From particularly November, a steep temperature gradient over Asia led to a stronger than normal Pacific jet and this in turn deepened the Aleutian trough which drove warm oceanic air across North America. However, a shift in the 50mb stratospheric temperature profile over the last 10 […]
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