Mark Vogan
Up until the 13th, May has been a very cool month unless you live in the southern half of Iberia or Russia. In fact the first half to May 2019 may have been the coldest in several years, especially for central Europe while warmest on record for Russia. The previous two May’s was dominated by […]
My hunch in my 2019 summer forecast may be coming to fruition as we enter mid-May. The consensus in most models show high pressure remaining largely dominant over or just north of Scotland through most of the remainder of May and into June. Give or take a few interruptions. With spells of lower heights down […]
The UK is in the cold air to end the week but through the weekend change arrives from the west as a deepening low tracks west to east across southern England/northern France bringing wind and gales, eventually this feature reaches Italy late Sunday into Monday. As the low drifts into Italy, our cold pool leaves […]
Welcome to my 9th annual US summer forecast. As always, when compiling this forecast for the upcoming June-August period there are multiple factors which have been taken into consideration which could influence the summer pattern. These include global and regional sea surface temperature anomalies, El Nino, MJO and rainfall distribution over the last 6 months. […]
Day/date: Tuesday 30 April 2019 Munros: Carn Liath, Braigh Coire Chruinn-bhalgain, Carn nan Gabhar (8, 9 & 10 of 2019, 86 total) Start point: Loch Moraig Drive length: 1.40 hours / 95 miles Walk length: 14 miles / 7 hours Weather: BASE: Clear, Light wind 4C @ 7.30am / SUMMIT sunny, light to moderate wind 3C, -3C wind chill. Weather: BASE: Clear, Light wind […]
Day/date: Thursday 11 April 2019 Munros: Sgorr Dhearg & Sgorr Dhonuill (6 & 7 of 2019, 83 total) Start point: Co-Op at Ballachulish Drive length: 2.15 hours / 101 miles Walk length: 10 miles / 7 hours Weather: BASE: Clear, no wind 2C @ 8.30am / SUMMIT sunny, light to moderate wind 1C, -3C wind chill.
Welcome to my 9th annual European summer forecast. As always, when compiling this forecast for the upcoming June-August period there are multiple factors which have been taken into consideration which could influence the summer pattern. These include global and regional sea surface temperature anomalies, El Nino, the mild winter just observed and rainfall distribution over […]
Lot’s of talk about an impending heat wave coming up for the UK. As a matter of fact it’s turning cooler towards the weekend as an air mass of arctic origin dives south via a cold front. The model at 850mb shows the air that’s north of Scandinavia sweeping south. Convective snow showers could well […]
Last weekend saw 5.3 inches of snow fall at Chicago O’Hare International Airport. This was the 2nd heaviest calendar day snow for so late in the season. The following weekend saw 2.5 inches of snow which marks the latest accumulating snow for the Windy City since 1989. https://twitter.com/NWSChicago/status/1122267116185563136 https://twitter.com/NWSChicago/status/1122246588099903489 Up to 8 inches of snow […]
This April, like most have delivered a taste of everything as you’d expect at this key transitional time of the year. Record cold, snow, heat, rain and big tornadoes have all featured but as you can see from the below temperature anomaly chart. Neutral to above normal temperatures have won out. The month is winding […]
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