Mark Vogan
April 2021 will go down as a notably cold and potentially record dry month, all thanks to a very stubborn, stuck blocked pattern. It’s the persistency in the chill and rain starved pattern that’s been very impressive. Dry April’s aren’t uncommon for the UK but a cold, dry April is. The chill came is two […]
2021 has seen quite the weather seesaw so far with spells of significant cold as well as warm with swings from one extreme to the other. Take February in the UK alone, we had a minimum of -23C recorded at Braemar, Aberdeenshire, 2 weeks later, Santon Downham, Suffolk soared to 18.4C. That’s one of the […]
Through March and indeed April I’ve harped on and on about the lack of cold seen by the long term modelling. This ‘issue’ continues with nothing but ‘hot high pressure’ for the upcoming May-June-July period. We all know that won’t be the case. CFSv2 500mb height anomaly for May-July 2021. Above normal heights equates to […]
Despite some movement back and forth, on the whole High pressure has been holding firm over the UK in recent weeks bringing not just drier but colder than normal conditions. This can likely be attributed to the La Nina and possibly other factors including MJO as well as solar state. The mean position of the […]


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