Following the 48 hour double barrel hit from the Atlantic, we find ourselves in a cold, wintry regime tonight. Ice and snow is becoming the main feature on the backside of the latest system. An ‘ocean modified’ brand of air which originated over the Canadian Arctic is tonight and tomorrow bringing blustery snow showers across parts of N Ireland, Scotland and N England tonight.
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Don’t be surprised to waken to a covering of snow Sunday AM even at low levels.
Monday sees another rise and fall in temp with the passing of the next cold front associated with the latest Icelandic low. This will also have a cold arctic-Canadian air source behind it and so expect more cold wind and snow showers.
Then we look towards mid next week and sure enough the models are picking up on another very intense low that’s expected to cross the N UK later Wednesday into Thursday. This may bring more damaging wind.
GFS surface at 72h shows the cold flow behind Monday’s system.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro
Wednesday’s beast!

Credit: AccuWeather Pro
ECMWF 10m wind projections.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro
More cold and snow follows this.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro
Next week looks colder than the week just gone.
ECMWF 7-day mean 2-metre temps/anomalies

Credit: AccuWeather Pro
GFS

Credit: AccuWeather Pro
Snow projections for the upcoming 7 days.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro
GFS

We’re still looking at an unsettled Atlantic pattern but temps are dropping and there is signs of a pattern shift in response to recent 10mb warming.



BOTH ECMWF and GFS ensembles are going right to my late January cold idea!

Credit: Michael Ventrice

Credit: Michael Ventrice
Will likely have just a video tomorrow as I’m going to spend the day with the family.
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