ECMWF expands the eastern US glacier further as cold remains firm. That’s despite the fact we’re ending ‘meteorological winter’. December and January may have been a disappointment but boy isn’t Feb catching up!
Credit: AccuWeather Pro
Credit: AccuWeather Pro
TOP IMAGE CREDIT: Newsday
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This pattern has been nothing short of incredible but what’s more amazing is that there’s cross model agreement that this pattern keep on going deep into March.
While the averages come up along with the sun, the upcoming 5-7 days looks every bit as severe as the previous 7. AMAZING!
The GFS ensemble 2m temp anomalies look brutal in the upcoming 7 days Remember, these are 7-day MEANS below.
Credit: AccuWeather Pro
This follow’s probably one of the coldest ever 5 day period’s in the Eastern US during February.
As shown in yesterday’s written post, we’ve at least another two really seriously cold morning’s in the East where -10s are likely to make a comeback over the snow fields of Kentucky and West Virginia.
The following 7 day period, albeit not just as cold remains well below normal and keep in mind that this is MARCH now.
Credit: AccuWeather Pro
Even out to day 9-16, WELL BELOW NORMAL…
Credit: AccuWeather Pro
The typically warmed biased CFSv2 shows the cold all the way out to week 3.. Mid March!
March overall looks like this off the CFSv2.
Hoping for some warmth come April, don’t bet on it…
Looks like it a second year in a row where spring is cold. Remember back to last March? It was a top 5 cold March from the Plains to East Coast. Would take a heck of a lot to touch that this year but then again, who would’ve thought Feb 1934 would’ve been challenged?
Looks like, for a 2nd year in a row, the warm NE Pacific rules a very cold 2nd half to winter and spring ahead. Other factors have played in this year including the El Nino, solar downturn, strong east QBO and warm water off the EC has likely helped produce the record Northeast snowfalls.
SST’s this time last year.
It’s also interesting to note that these past 2 winter’s which have displaced extreme cold and snow have also occurred while the NAO/AO has been firmly positive.
See today’s video for the discussion. More tomorrow.
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