This week isn’t going to be all that warm but there is undoubtedly a ‘warming trend’ following the frigid open to the month.
Despite all the talk about warmer weather… here were this morning’s lows.
Credit: weather.com
1044 high over MN-IA tomorrow.
Credit: AccuWeather Pro
Here comes that warm-up.
TOP IMAGE CREDIT: Eli Welson (@weird_kid_down)
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As previously stated, the cold start to January has been fuelled by a -EPO (Eastern Pacific Oscillation) with a strong Alaska ridge while there’s a trough east of Hawaii, it was NOT a -AO nor NAO as both we’re and remain positive. Despite a brief flip to positive in the EPO and warmer signal for US, recent ‘major warming’ at 10mb over Siberia, Arctic and for the first time, the N Atlantic. A -AO/NAO is set to develop and we’re set to see the return of a -EPO as well. These are ALL cold signals for the US from the 20th and beyond.
Let’s not forget the MJO which has been in very warm phases to start January (phase 4, 5 and 6) and so despite this, the US has shivered but what’s interesting is that the MJO, along with the AO, NAO and EPO is also set to enter colder phase 7 and 8!
I wouldn’t be surprised if January ends equally as cold as it started!
Credit: WSI Energy
Even though we’re 12 days into January, here’s how the CFSv2 looks at the month overall.
Here’s Feb.
See video for discussion.
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