United Kingdom & Ireland
Despite a warmer middle part of May (especially for Scotland and Scandinavia), the month is winding up below normal throughout central and west-central Europe. Like in April, warmth has been the rule over Russia. A dry first half to the month has given way to a wetter 2nd half and a downright soggy finish for […]
Up until the 13th, May has been a very cool month unless you live in the southern half of Iberia or Russia. In fact the first half to May 2019 may have been the coldest in several years, especially for central Europe while warmest on record for Russia. The previous two May’s was dominated by […]
My hunch in my 2019 summer forecast may be coming to fruition as we enter mid-May. The consensus in most models show high pressure remaining largely dominant over or just north of Scotland through most of the remainder of May and into June. Give or take a few interruptions. With spells of lower heights down […]
The UK is in the cold air to end the week but through the weekend change arrives from the west as a deepening low tracks west to east across southern England/northern France bringing wind and gales, eventually this feature reaches Italy late Sunday into Monday. As the low drifts into Italy, our cold pool leaves […]
Welcome to my 9th annual European summer forecast. As always, when compiling this forecast for the upcoming June-August period there are multiple factors which have been taken into consideration which could influence the summer pattern. These include global and regional sea surface temperature anomalies, El Nino, the mild winter just observed and rainfall distribution over […]
Lot’s of talk about an impending heat wave coming up for the UK. As a matter of fact it’s turning cooler towards the weekend as an air mass of arctic origin dives south via a cold front. The model at 850mb shows the air that’s north of Scandinavia sweeping south. Convective snow showers could well […]
The month opened cold in the west and warm in the east across the continent but into April’s second week and the persistent Scandinavian block built south flipping the temperature pendulum the other way. This high has been the driver to April, both giving and taking. How strong is the current blocking high over Finland? […]
Thanks to an unusually persistent area high pressure, rainfall has been considerably below normal this April and in turn has led to a spell of unusual April warmth. The dominant Scandinavian high initially brought a taste of late winter some 7-10 days ago but during the past week, many parts of the British Isles as […]
What a difference a matter of days can make in mid April… The same Scandinavian high which produced a winter-like chill right across the UK and Ireland last weekend is now bringing a taste of early summer and a toasty Easter weekend for much of the UK. The warmth should peak Easter Saturday but Good […]
Cold easterlies blowing straight out of Scandinavia made much of the UK and Western Europe feel more like late February this weekend with many failing to see 10C and wind chills stuck in low single figures. Today’s surface pattern shows how our air originated in Russia. Here were today’s highs across Europe. Most were well […]
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