United Kingdom & Ireland

Towns in Scotland, England, Wales Endure Coldest May Night’s in 20-40 Years But Northern Ireland Takes The Prize!

Written by on May 14, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Towns in Scotland, England, Wales Endure Coldest May Night’s in 20-40 Years But Northern Ireland Takes The Prize!

It’s been quite the May for cold throughout the British Isles and Ireland thanks to dry arctic or subarctic air trapped within a dominant blocking high over ground starved of rain. Cloudless skies have been common place in recent weeks as seen in the below visible satellite image. While April as well as May has […]

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Summer & Winter Battle It Out During April, May Following UK’s 4th Warmest Winter

Written by on May 9, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Summer & Winter Battle It Out During April, May Following UK’s 4th Warmest Winter

After a non-winter, all of a sudden old man winter gets here 3 months late and doesn’t want to leave. A +AO/NAO low pressure dominated winter has abruptly flipped to a -AO/NAO high pressure dominated spring. We’ve went from 200% of normal rainfall widely back in February to just 20% of normal rain during April. […]

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Strong, Resilient Polar Vortex ‘Finally Breaksdown’ & Drains Sending Major May Cold Into US/UK

Written by on May 6, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Strong, Resilient Polar Vortex ‘Finally Breaksdown’ & Drains Sending Major May Cold Into US/UK

There’s been nothing normal about the polar vortex over the past 10 months. After being record strong throughout the past winter, producing the 4th warmest winter for the UK, 6th warmest for the US and warmest on record for Europe as a whole, the final stratospheric warming has now finally unraveled. Perhaps late due to […]

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Europe May 2020 Outlook

Written by on April 28, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe May 2020 Outlook

April couldn’t have been more different to February for Western Europe with frequent Atlantic lows (active rossby wave train) bringing record rainfall to the UK. This ‘stuck’ pattern was abruptly replaced by only another stuck pattern, a blocked high (stationary wave) which brought 4 straight weeks without a drop of rain for some. The tap […]

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Enhanced MJO Set To Return Bringing Wet, Unsettled Start To May For UK

Written by on April 22, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Enhanced MJO Set To Return Bringing Wet, Unsettled Start To May For UK

If you’ve read my latest articles and watched the videos then you’ll be well aware that our warm, wet winter was largely down to the warm ‘enhanced’ phases of the madden julian oscillation. The northward heat release fueled a highly active wintertime rossby wave train. At the end of March, the MJO finally weakened into […]

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High Pressure Brings Big Temperature Swings To Scottish Highlands

Written by on April 20, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
High Pressure Brings Big Temperature Swings To Scottish Highlands

A persistent high pressure system anchored between Scotland and Scandinavia has led to a complete shutdown of ‘weather’ and produced significant April rainfall deficits from UK through Central Europe as a result. This blocking high has re-routed all weather north into Scandinavia and south into Iberia. 500mb height anomaly for April so far. Rainfall anomaly […]

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From Record Wet February To One of the Driest April’s for UK?

Written by on April 18, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
From Record Wet February To One of the Driest April’s for UK?

What’s going on? We have gone from relentless rain to unusually dry in just 6-8 weeks. From almost UK-wide flood warnings in February/early March to little or no rain from March 19 to April 16. This was the 500mb height anomaly for February. This was the result. A record wet February for the UK. As […]

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Tail Of Two Halves For UK Easter Weekend 2020

Written by on April 10, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Tail Of Two Halves For UK Easter Weekend 2020

While Easter 2020 will be far from anything anybody’s witnessed before, the weather will actually be not too dissimilar to last year which turned out record warm throughout the UK. An eery empty #A9 near #Aviemore at 2pm in the middle of the #EasterWeekend. Something you'll 'hopefully' never see again… #Covid19 #UKlockdown pic.twitter.com/QgudvgDpSm — MarkVoganWeather.com […]

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Seasonal Shift, MJO ‘Gear Change’ and Cool SST’s Turns Soggy Atlantic Pattern Into Drier, Warmer Regime For UK

Written by on April 7, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Seasonal Shift, MJO ‘Gear Change’ and Cool SST’s Turns Soggy Atlantic Pattern Into Drier, Warmer Regime For UK

The global driving mechanisms of ENSO, IOD and MJO which drove the hemisphere’s warmest winter and UK’s wettest February on record have finally changed gear but much too late for the snow and cold lover unfortunately. As a result of this ‘gear change’ combined with the natural seasonal shift, the westerlies have slackened and ridging […]

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Europe April 2020 Outlook

Written by on March 31, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe April 2020 Outlook

A strong, stable stratospheric polar vortex dominated much of the 2019-20 boreal winter, driving warm oceanic air across the continents. We’ve almost certainly observed the warmest winter since the beginning of the satellite era (1979) throughout the Northern Hemisphere. Globally, January 2020 was earth’s warmest since the beginning of the satellite era in 1979. Following […]

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