Spring 2016

Finally… Summer-like Weather Heads For Spain, Portugal But Wind & Rain For UK

Finally… Summer-like Weather Heads For Spain, Portugal But Wind & Rain For UK

Hope you enjoyed the largely fine, dry and pleasant weekend of weather because it’s going downhill this week as the high deflates to the south opening the Atlantic up. If you happen to be heading south for an early holiday to Spain, Portugal or Western Med, the weather is finally settling down and warming up. […]

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Mid-May Arctic Blast Sweeps Across Country From Rockies To Northeast, Relentless Texas Wet Pattern Continues

Written by on May 15, 2016 in Spring 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
Mid-May Arctic Blast Sweeps Across Country From Rockies To Northeast, Relentless Texas Wet Pattern Continues

The last 30-days of rain has been well above normal from Texas to Montana and to a lesser degree across the central Intermountain West as well as the Mid-Atlantic but despite recent rains for the Northeast, it’s been very dry here as well as the Tennessee Valley and much of the Southeast. The driest compared to […]

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Icelandic Low Returns Next Week Bringing Back Wet & Windy UK, Warm, Dry Spain

Icelandic Low Returns Next Week Bringing Back Wet & Windy UK, Warm, Dry Spain

The feature image above shows the latest visible satellite image across the Atlantic. Note the large swirl of low pressure now exiting eastern Canada. That is our game changer next week. Before I get into next week, beneath clear skies, light wind and a cooler, drier air mass in place, temps widely dipped to freezing or […]

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Unusual Mid-May Snow & Cold For Northeast, El Nino Hangover Continues To Temper Heat

Written by on May 13, 2016 in Spring 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
Unusual Mid-May Snow & Cold For Northeast, El Nino Hangover Continues To Temper Heat

After a mild November 1 through January 15 period, old man winter finally got his act together, particularly in February but since then, he refuses to give up. This weekend sees a strong cold front sweep through the Ohio Valley, Northeast and Mid Atlantic with arctic source air driving temps 10-20 below normal with snow expected […]

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EUROPE: A Look At The Latest Model Solutions For June-August & What AccuWeather Is Saying!

EUROPE: A Look At The Latest Model Solutions For June-August & What AccuWeather Is Saying!

It’s interesting when looking at the latest long range model runs and the big differences in solution. Canadian and Met Office models are in the same ‘cooler, wetter’ camp which somewhat coincides with my summer forecast while the CFSv2 and Jamstec are both warm and dry. Canadian Met Office CFSv2 Jamstec See this morning’s video. Here’s what AccuWeather […]

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CSU: 2016 Hurricane Season Forecast Calls For Near-Average Activity

Written by on May 12, 2016 in Spring 2016, Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
CSU: 2016 Hurricane Season Forecast Calls For Near-Average Activity

Article from weather.com The 2016 Atlantic hurricane season forecast released Thursday from Colorado State University calls for the number of named storms and hurricanes to be near historical averages. A total of 12 named storms, five hurricanes and two major hurricane are expected this season, according to the forecast prepared by CSU, which is headed […]

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THU 12 MAY: VOGAN’S UNITED STATES OUTLOOK

Written by on May 12, 2016 in Spring 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
THU 12 MAY: VOGAN’S UNITED STATES OUTLOOK

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UK: Seesaw NAO Provides Weekend By Weekend Contrasts Of Both Summer (Last) & Winter (This), Next?

UK: Seesaw NAO Provides Weekend By Weekend Contrasts Of Both Summer (Last) & Winter (This), Next?

It really has been a spectacular week of weather, particularly across Northern Ireland and Scotland, not so much further south across England and Wales. What a day to take a drive up the A9 to Inverness yesterday. Here are the views at Dalwhinnie that I captured. Dash read 24C. Yesterday’s highs. The Isle of Skye […]

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Strong Storm & Air Mass Collision Continues To Drive Severe Weather But Hot End To May?

Written by on May 11, 2016 in Spring 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
Strong Storm & Air Mass Collision Continues To Drive Severe Weather But Hot End To May?

I only briefly touched on the severe weather that’s been causing havoc on the Plains in recent days as I’ve been focusing more on the larger, longer term pattern. Not that I don’t care! Speaking of severe weather, in Atkinson, Nebraska, hail accumulation was deep enough for cars to get stuck yesterday!! As that troublesome and […]

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Polar-Maritime To Replace Warm Continental Over UK, W Europe This Weekend

Polar-Maritime To Replace Warm Continental Over UK, W Europe This Weekend

A simple shift in the position of high pressure and wind shift means big changes coming late week as we loose the warm continental connection and draw in polar maritime air again. It was another glorious day up here across Scotland Tuesday but another dreary, soggy one further south. Visible satellite from yesterday shows a cloudless Scotland but […]

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