Autumn 2015

EUROPE: Transient Pattern Remains But Change Beginning To Show Over The High Latitudes

EUROPE: Transient Pattern Remains But Change Beginning To Show Over The High Latitudes

It’s another north-south split in weather over the UK today with cool, blustery and showery conditions across Northern Britain with snow falling above 500ft while it’s dull and relatively mild across the far South, drier, brighter in between. Snow has been falling steadily on and off over Highland Scotland in the last 36 hours and we’ll continue to see that through Friday, driven […]

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US 15 DAY: From Some Of Warmest Ever December Days To Siberian Punch In The Face?

Written by on December 10, 2015 in Autumn 2015, United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
US 15 DAY: From Some Of Warmest Ever December Days To Siberian Punch In The Face?

There’s no question, the warmth building from the Front Range to East Coast is mighty impressive. While countless daily records will fall, we may well see some all-time December highs and lows threatened if not fall too. Check out the day by day 2m temperature anomalies off the GFS. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Then the true Arctic-Siberian air […]

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EUROPE: El Nino Warmth Shall Remain Dominant Through At Least Christmas

EUROPE: El Nino Warmth Shall Remain Dominant Through At Least Christmas

Warmth and for some, wet has been the big talking point for not just the UK, Europe but across much of the hemisphere in recent weeks. You’d think it would be turning much colder by now right? Well I think it’s safe to say that we’re seeing the direct influence of one of the strongest […]

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Western US Turns Colder As Well As Stormier Into Mid-December

Written by on December 9, 2015 in Autumn 2015, United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
Western US Turns Colder As Well As Stormier Into Mid-December

Rain is falling in San Francisco this morning and this is only the start of what will be a stormy upcoming 5-7 days with a more significant spell of wind, rain and mountain snow moving in tomorrow. The storms are lining up out in the Pacific. While it turns cooler, wetter and windier over Northern […]

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Atlantic Siege Shows No Sign Of Letting Up With Strong -85C Core Within ‘Pole Positioned’ Vortex

Atlantic Siege Shows No Sign Of Letting Up With Strong -85C Core Within ‘Pole Positioned’ Vortex

With little to no change in the great wheel of the Arctic Oscillation, our Atlantic siege continues with an increasingly windy day across Ireland and the UK. Always wettest in the North and West and the combination of gales along with bursts of moderate and at times heavy rain, it’s not the nicest of Wednesdays. Dry, cloudy […]

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El Nino Open US Winter Warm But For How Long?

Written by on December 8, 2015 in Autumn 2015, United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
El Nino Open US Winter Warm But For How Long?

It’s clear to see that the El Nino is the main driver starting off winter 2015-16 and not just over the US but globally. Just look at how warm the continents are but this opening week has been a blow torch over the heart of North America and Eurasia. This will excite the global warming crowd I’m sure. The […]

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El Nino The Clear Global Driver To Start Off Winter 2015-16, Watching Displacement Of PV Towards Asia

El Nino The Clear Global Driver To Start Off Winter 2015-16, Watching Displacement Of PV Towards Asia

There’s no question, this years powerful El Nino is most certain influencing the GLOBAL weather pattern and helping drive unusually warm air from the tropics into the mid-latitudes. The strong +AO/NAO is helping with this process as the circling westerlies bringing heavy rain as well as transport heat across continents. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] This is how […]

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Powerful Pacific Jet Drives First ‘Series Of Storms’ Into West, Record Warmth Further East

Written by on December 7, 2015 in Autumn 2015, United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
Powerful Pacific Jet Drives First ‘Series Of Storms’ Into West, Record Warmth Further East

Helped by a strong positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation, we have a strengthening west-east jet stream crossing the Pacific, providing a lot of energy to drive across the United States this week. As a consequence to this 190+ mph jet this week, we’ll see the first ‘series of storms’ batter the West Coast with hurricane-force […]

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METEOROLOGY BEHIND IT: Near Identical Setup To 2009 Brings Another Caribbean Deluge To Cumbria

METEOROLOGY BEHIND IT: Near Identical Setup To 2009 Brings Another Caribbean Deluge To Cumbria

UPDATE: It’s been confirmed that the UK has set a new 24 and 48-hour rainfall record this weekend. 341.4mm (13 inches) fell within 24 hours at Honister breaking the previous record set back in 2009 and 405mm (16 inches) fell within 48 hours at Thirlmere. Confirmation from Met Office. It’s safe to say that this past weekend has been eventful, unfortunately devastating for many […]

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A LOOK BACK: Super Arctic Outbreak January 1985

Written by on December 6, 2015 in Autumn 2015, United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
A LOOK BACK: Super Arctic Outbreak January 1985

Every weekend in the run up to New Year, I thought it might be good to take a step back in time and relive some of America and Europe’s very worst, most extreme winters of the last 100+ years. Thought I would start off with 1985 for the US which saw a record mild December in the East! […]

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