Autumn 2015

Peaking Of El Nino & Cold Polar Stratosphere Key Factors In Hemispheric Warmth, What Next?

Peaking Of El Nino & Cold Polar Stratosphere Key Factors In Hemispheric Warmth, What Next?

The warmth has been longer and stronger than anticipated both over Europe as well as the Northern Hemisphere as a whole and the upcoming period between Dec 16 through Jan 5 is likely to hold the key in terms of where this winter will wind up. The warmth is nothing short of incredible, more May-like […]

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Warmest December? Could See Warmest Christmas Eve/Day On Record East Of Mississippi!

Written by on December 15, 2015 in Autumn 2015, United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
Warmest December? Could See Warmest Christmas Eve/Day On Record East Of Mississippi!

Based on the warmth already seen and the model projection through the remainder of month, this is highly likely to be one of the warmest December on record for the Lower 48. Last 7 day mean Month to date MJO, AO, NAO All Point To Continued Warmth The Rest Of December! Note the MJO remains in warm phases […]

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UK & Western Europe On Track For Warmest December On Record?

UK & Western Europe On Track For Warmest December On Record?

The cold and snow of this past weekend across Highland Scotland is history mid and particularly late this week as a surge of exceptionally warm air lifts north via a series of NNE moving occluded fronts. As well as bringing further spells of heavy rain and abundant cloud, these waves of downright warm December air may threaten December records dating back many decades. […]

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Record Tying Bering Sea Storm To Kick Record Eastern Warmth Into Atlantic This Week

Written by on December 14, 2015 in Autumn 2015, United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
Record Tying Bering Sea Storm To Kick Record Eastern Warmth Into Atlantic This Week

Warmth which broke 100-year records this past weekend shall remain the big weather story as we enter mid-December. Article from weather.com Hundreds of Records Broken as December Warmth Sends Temperatures Up To 30 Degrees Above Average Published: 3 hours 46 min ago weather.com A very mild weather pattern by December standards has engulfed a large swath of the […]

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EUROPE: Hints Of Polar Vortex Weakening, Displacement? If True, We Won’t See Response Till January

EUROPE: Hints Of Polar Vortex Weakening, Displacement? If True, We Won’t See Response Till January

So far December is playing out as expected, predominantly mild with a strong westerly or zonal flow pattern throughout the mid-latitudes, UK especially! This westerly has accompanied frequent spells of flooding rain. Cold weather has been minimal. Combination of one of the strongest El Nino episodes on record (likely driven enhanced rainfall via a stronger sub-tropical jet) coupled with a very cold […]

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Record Warmth Floods Eastern US While Blizzard Rages Over Texas, Oklahoma This Weekend

Written by on December 14, 2015 in Autumn 2015, United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
Record Warmth Floods Eastern US While Blizzard Rages Over Texas, Oklahoma This Weekend

It’s been a remarkably warm mid-December weekend in the East while in stark contrast, it’s been snowy with even blizzard conditions 1000 miles to the SW. Yesterday’s record highs. Today’s records tied or broken! While spring flowers blossomed and folks took a stroll about in their shorts and t-shire, heavy snow and even blizzard conditions on the Texas/Oklahoma […]

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A LOOK BACK: Arctic Outbreak Of January 1994

Written by on December 13, 2015 in Autumn 2015, United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
A LOOK BACK: Arctic Outbreak Of January 1994

Every weekend in the run up to New Year I thought it might be good to take a step back in time and relive some of America and Europe’s very worst, most extreme winters of the last 100+ years. From Rick Grow Nineteen years ago, a brutal and, in some places, historic cold snap impacted the U.S. and Canada. […]

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Milder Week For UK, Colder With Snow In Eastern Europe

Milder Week For UK, Colder With Snow In Eastern Europe

Following a soaker of a Saturday across Ireland, Wales, central and southern England, there was a very impressive spread in UK temperature overnight. We’re separated by two very different air masses. Over the snowfields of Highland Scotland and beneath, clear, cold, calm skies it got down to -9C at Dalwhinnie, widely -2 to -4C but the Southern half of the country, it […]

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A LOOK BACK: Winter of 1946-47

A LOOK BACK: Winter of 1946-47

Every Saturday in the run up to New Year, I thought it would be good to take a step back in time and relive some of our most brutal and legendry British and European winters of the last 100 years. The severe, relentless winter of 1946-47 will be long remembered as one of our most legendary. Last week A LOOK […]

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US: A Weekend Of Extremes Coming Up With Busy & Exciting Pattern Developing…

Written by on December 11, 2015 in Autumn 2015, United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
US: A Weekend Of Extremes Coming Up With Busy & Exciting Pattern Developing…

It’s a busy weekend of weather coming up with a storm system winding up over the Plains. We’ll see winter in the west and summer in the east with a mix of flooding rain, snow, possibly ice and severe weather in between. Behind this storm system, temps will run 10-20 below normal while it’s 20-30 […]

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