Hurricane Isaac
Isaac Has Had A Whole Host Of Problems To Contend With Well Isaac has just been declared a 75 mph, category 1 hurricane despite the look of one over the past 12 hours with an eye and eyewall feature with substantial convection circling this inner core. The issue has been that although winds aloft (at flight level) have been supporting […]
After a few hours sleep I’m back up and was half expecting to see a hurricane declared and a healthier looking storm, however, I am seeing little difference from when turning this computer off. The only difference to me is that it’s closer to the Gulf Coast and the dry air is shaving off convection on […]
For days now, Isaac has been fighting either shear, dry air or both. All day, there has been slow improvement in the system’s overall appearance with a better and better core showing. Pressure has been slowly falling and is now down to 981mb but official winds remain at 70 mph. This will be upgraded by the […]
While we fear the wind and storm surge aspect from Isaac over Southeast Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama, there is also a very concerning trend on models. Models have this system near stalling just inland with little movement from an early Wednesday landfall through Friday with the center merely covering a distance of 50-100 miles inland from the […]
Since retiring for the night and getting up this morning, there has been little change in Isaac. Max sustained winds remain at 65 mph with pressure slightly lower at 990. However, recent sat images has showed a more healthy looking system with a more concentric look with blow up of deep convection and even what could appear […]
While the outer bands of Isaac have been sweeping up through South and even Central Florida throughout today with wind gusts to 60 mph across Miami along with torrential downpours, the centre of circulation is just about on Key West. Pressure is now at 994mb so it’s barely strengthening though it’s highly likely that over […]
Florida Keys: Don’t be caught out my last minute rapid intensification! If you looked at my forecast track issued late last night (below) and then have a look at the new NHC track issued this morning (above), their near identical. This track which takes Isaac through the very deep warm waters of the Florida Straits is […]
As Tropical Storm Isaac continues to churn away in very unorganised fashion off the north coast of Cuba, the latest model guidance shows a slightly more westward track over the Gulf and this is most worrying for the Greater New Orleans area. The overnight shift west means that there is greater risk of a potentially major hurricane […]
Recent Comments