Tropical

Category 2 Florence Still Likely To ‘Wipe Out’ Carolina Coastal Communities & Break City & State Rainfall Records

Written by on September 13, 2018 in Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
Category 2 Florence Still Likely To ‘Wipe Out’ Carolina Coastal Communities & Break City & State Rainfall Records

Since my last post on Florence, the hurricane’s core has weakened in intensity and structure has become disorganized, likely due to dry air entrainment. However, despite it’s core winds (a small central portion of the storm) down from 140 to 110 mph, in a sense ‘the damage may have already been done’ because the system […]

Continue Reading

Mandatory Evacuations Begin On US East Coast As Florence Explodes To Category 4 Over Atlantic

Written by on September 10, 2018 in Tropical with 0 Comments
Mandatory Evacuations Begin On US East Coast As Florence Explodes To Category 4 Over Atlantic

After the near silence over the Atlantic in July and through much of August, we’re approaching the peak of the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season and dealing with a tempest. Florence (as expected) has underwent rapid intensification over the bath-tub warm waters of the Western Atlantic. Florence has went from 75 to 130 mph within 24 […]

Continue Reading

Northeast US: Record Warm Sea, Air & Potential Influence On Hurricane Florence

Written by on September 8, 2018 in Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
Northeast US: Record Warm Sea, Air & Potential Influence On Hurricane Florence

We have an ocean to atmosphere feedback setup and pattern which could spell a serious problem to the US. Waters from the Gulf of Maine down to the Delmarva are running at record warm levels. SST’s of 84 degrees have been reported off Cape May, NJ. There’s an noticeable response in the atmosphere above with […]

Continue Reading

A Summer of Extremes For Japan: Strongest Typhoon in 25 Years Hits In Wake of 2 Record Rain Events And Heatwave

Written by on September 6, 2018 in Asia, Rest of World, Tropical with 0 Comments
A Summer of Extremes For Japan: Strongest Typhoon in 25 Years Hits In Wake of 2 Record Rain Events And Heatwave

First it was a record breaking rain and flood event, then record breaking heatwave which saw highs reach 41.1C setting a new national record followed by another record rain event. Now Japan is reeling from it’s strongest Typhoon to hit the country in 25 years. Japan is no stranger to typhoons. In fact they hit […]

Continue Reading

The Pendulum Swings As Pacific Quietens Down and Atlantic Wakens!

Written by on September 4, 2018 in Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
The Pendulum Swings As Pacific Quietens Down and Atlantic Wakens!

Up until now the focus has been across the Pacific and it’s busy 2018 season while the Atlantic has remained quiet as expected. This is typical of warm ENSO years where the tropical east and west Pacific is warm and Atlantic cool. As you can see from the two below charts, there’s been a frenzy […]

Continue Reading

Texas last August, Hawaii this August… US gets hit by 2 ‘wettest tropical cyclones on record’ in 12 months!

Written by on August 29, 2018 in Rest of World, Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
Texas last August, Hawaii this August… US gets hit by 2 ‘wettest tropical cyclones on record’ in 12 months!

Last August, Category 4 Harvey hit Texas with tremendous force. While wind and storm surge impacts were massive, the rainfall was simply off the charts as the vast system stalled for 5 days. 60.58 INCHES of rain fell on Nederland, TX setting a new record for most rainfall within a single US tropical cyclone. That […]

Continue Reading

Hurricane Lane drops 51.53″ of rain on Hawaii making for 3rd wettest US tropical cyclone

Written by on August 27, 2018 in North and South America, Tropical with 0 Comments
Hurricane Lane drops 51.53″ of rain on Hawaii making for 3rd wettest US tropical cyclone

Hurricane Lane, like most Pacific hurricanes, passed close but not over the chain of pearls. He was always going to be a big rain maker but not wind maker. Certainly Lane delivered on the rain, so much so it he has entered the record books. When it rains, it rains, especially when it’s from a […]

Continue Reading

Much of the Gulf of California surface area has warmed to 32C (90F)

Much of the Gulf of California surface area has warmed to 32C (90F)

Like the Middle East’s Persian Gulf, the narrow Gulf of California is surrounded by desert or semi desert terrain which heats the water in between. In a typical summer the Gulf of California warms to between 25-30C (75-86F) with the thin strip of land on the west side known as the Baja of California heating […]

Continue Reading

July 2018 saw the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation at it’s lowest value since 1950

Written by on August 8, 2018 in Tropical with 0 Comments
July 2018 saw the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation at it’s lowest value since 1950

There’s been a lot of attention this spring and summer on the cool Atlantic and rightly so. According to Colorado State University’s index, the mean July 2018 AMO (Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation) was at it’s lowest value since 1950. The imbalance of warm Pacific, cool Atlantic through the tropics has led to stronger than normal easterly […]

Continue Reading

Thoughts on the Atlantic Hurricane Season 2018 (Inc video)

Written by on June 1, 2018 in Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
Thoughts on the Atlantic Hurricane Season 2018 (Inc video)

This is not a forecast or outlook but more thoughts regarding this year’s Atlantic hurricane season. Today is of course the first day of the season and we’ve already seen Alberto. Not a particularly noteworthy system from a tropical point of view but it helped contribute to the wettest May on record for parts of […]

Continue Reading

Top