Tag: winter forecast
Well it certainly doesn’t appear that cold will make it to the western flank of Europe (south of Scand) this week as Atlantic low pressure appears too dominant. I know back last week and up till Saturday, I believed the models would flip back to what they had originally with cold making it to Ireland but […]
It may seen like a long time coming but right on schedule, the operational models are now picking up on what the CFSv2 has shown since before Christmas, a Greenland to Scandinavia block by the end of day 10 or around Jan 10th. This would coincide nicely with the 10mb strat warming over Asia and the stretching and […]
In the last couple of days I’ve shown examples of where I’m getting the cold January idea for Western Europe and how it appears to be going to my long term mid winter forecast, first issued back in late summer but I want to take it further. The examples where first given in Friday’s written post […]
While a lot of focus is on the snow across south-central and southeast Europe this week and next week’s arctic cold but let’s not overlook the continued storminess across the central Mediterranean. It seems for days now, Italy and much of south-central Europe has been plagued by cold and stormy weather with choppy seas, gales, flooding rains and of course snowfall. The trouble […]
Last week’s Midwest and Eastern cold blast hit while both the NAO and AO was strongly positive but given that those indexes are heading towards neutral and negative, it’s plausible to believe what both the GFS and ECMWF are showing for the US late this week into next. While the last blast was a chilly one, that would […]
Quick post tonight but wanted to quickly show you the jet pattern and it’s current influence over the UK at the moment. As you can see from the below chart, it’s basically splitting the air mass with night lows of -6C in the Highlands while waves of energy riding the under side of the jet is promoting not […]
The overall fall pattern is unfolding as predicted back in August with a largely warm September and start to October with cold end. Also, as expected, the pattern is shifting and November overall is looking milder and wetter for the East while the trough repositions back over the West as the indexes flip. Based on all current […]
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