Tag: winter forecast

Winter Has Been A No Show For Europe, Could Strat Warming, Oceanic Feedback Bring Hope?

Written by on January 13, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 2 Comments

Well it certainly doesn’t appear that cold will make it to the western flank of Europe (south of Scand) this week as Atlantic low pressure appears too dominant. I know back last week and up till Saturday, I believed the models would flip back to what they had originally with cold making it to Ireland but […]

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Operational Runs Now Show Blocking Pattern & UK Cold Signal!

Written by on January 1, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

It may seen like a long time coming but right on schedule, the operational models are now picking up on what the CFSv2 has shown since before Christmas, a Greenland to Scandinavia block by the end of day 10 or around Jan 10th. This would coincide nicely with the 10mb strat warming over Asia and the stretching and […]

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More Guidance Supports Progressively Colder Times Ahead For UK/W. Europe

Written by on December 29, 2013 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

In the last couple of days I’ve shown examples of where I’m getting the cold January idea for Western Europe and how it appears to be going to my long term mid winter forecast, first issued back in late summer but I want to take it further. The examples where first given in Friday’s written post […]

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Central Med Stays Stormy Next 5 Days, Detailed Look At Coming Cold

Written by on November 29, 2013 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

While a lot of focus is on the snow across south-central and southeast Europe this week and next week’s arctic cold but let’s not overlook the continued storminess across the central Mediterranean. It seems for days now, Italy and much of south-central Europe has been plagued by cold and stormy weather with choppy seas, gales, flooding rains and of course snowfall. The trouble […]

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January Level Cold To Dive Into Lower 48 Late Week

Written by on November 18, 2013 in United States of America with 0 Comments

Last week’s Midwest and Eastern cold blast hit while both the NAO and AO was strongly positive but given that those indexes are heading towards neutral and negative, it’s plausible to believe what both the GFS and ECMWF are showing for the US late this week into next. While the last blast was a chilly one, that would […]

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190+mph Jet Stream Roars Across UK, Cuts Europe Bound Flight Times

Written by on November 5, 2013 in Rest of World, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

Quick post tonight but wanted to quickly show you the jet pattern and it’s current influence over the UK at the moment. As you can see from the below chart, it’s basically splitting the air mass with night lows of -6C in the Highlands while waves of energy riding the under side of the jet is promoting not […]

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Official United States Winter Forecast 2013-2014

The overall fall pattern is unfolding as predicted back in August with a largely warm September and start to October with cold end. Also, as expected, the pattern is shifting and November overall is looking milder and wetter for the East while the trough repositions back over the West as the indexes flip. Based on all current […]

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Is Possible Break In W Europe Ridge Next Week A Sign? Eurasian Snowcover Ahead Of Last Year!

Written by on October 5, 2013 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 2 Comments

For those living here on the western side of Europe you may be asking where the heck is autumn or the cooler weather you would expect at this time of year, well you only have to look at the other side of the continent where it’s looking and feeling more like early winter rather than early […]

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