Tag: europe weather
Following what’s been a warm, very dry March and April for the UK, Ireland and much of north/central Europe, it’s been a cool and very wet spring for Iberia. That changes this week as a trough deepens over the Atlantic and dives southward towards the Azores while strong high pressure spins over Europe. With Atlantic […]
Welcome to my 12th annual winter forecast for Europe. In this forecast, the conclusions drawn for the upcoming 90-day meteorological winter period are based on current solar, ocean and atmospheric drivers and my understanding of their potential influence. Of course, pinpointing any specific pattern several weeks or months ahead is near impossible but we can […]
Welcome to my 11th annual UK, Europe summer forecast. As always, when compiling this forecast for the upcoming June-August period there are multiple factors which I have taken into consideration. They include the past winter pattern, type of spring just observed as well as other factors including current ENSO state, global and regional sea surface temperature […]
After a month of continental style weather, change is on it’s way! Our 3, 4 even nearly 5 weeks of rain free days are well and truly numbered. For some, downpours and minor flooding has already occurred but for many the grass continues to brown and crops, plants wilt having not seen rain in over […]
The start of June 2015 couldn’t be more different to 2016. My wife and I left a cool, cloudy and rainy Glasgow visited a warm sunny Paris the first weekend of June last year. Early June 2015 Glasgow Paris This year! Glasgow Paris The French Open has been plagued by rain delays this year. Last year […]
As you know, there’s a very distinct battle between Atlantic low pressure and continental high pressure this week and as is often the case with amplified or meridional patterns, while one area is warm, it’s typically cold elsewhere. So while the West of Europe including the UK and Ireland is in the mild air, it’s […]
Up until the 20th of the month, October has been dry across the UK and Ireland with many places receiving barely 20% of normal rainfall. As for temperatures, well after a warm start, the average is now back below normal thanks to a persistent northerly high pulling air in from Russia. Change has indeed arrived with a more typical, […]
Long range forecasting is often seen to be impossible and laughed at. However it’s predictable if you know what your looking for. Some years I struggle and get it wrong, other years like 2015, I get it right. The lessons learned from 2012 have certainly paid off this year. Right or wrong, here you get […]
As expected, the UK is sandwiched between fronts with clear, settled conditions in between. While the Atlantic tries to throw the next low our way, the expanding Scandinavian high with wind and rain along it’s western flank is attempting to push in from the North Sea and will do tonight and tomorrow. This is an […]
Today Marks Summer 2015’s Half Way Point And Atlantic Is Very Much Driving Europe’s Summer (& Year)!
Today marks the mid way point of summer 2015 and it’s very apparent that the ocean and it’s cold and warm anomalies are reflecting the land temperature and precipitation distribution anomalies this year. Where surrounding waters are cold and the ground is wet, it’s cool overall and where waters are warm and ground is dry, it’s warmer than normal, […]
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