Mark Vogan
For the UK, spring (March) started very cold and moderated as the month progressed and became increasingly wet (wettest since 1981 for England). The month averaged slightly below temperature-wise. April is seeing a mild, dry north, cooler, wetter south and is likely to wind up near to slightly below average temperature-wise and perhaps near average […]
It’s been a wild winter and spring across Asia with extremes for both cold and heat. Thanks to it’s vast size, topography and position within the largest continent on earth linking tropics with arctic, China observed a particularly extreme ride so far in 2023. Firstly, the the far north, saw China’s first -50C since 1969 […]
Overview/Summary For the UK and Ireland, the upcoming Easter weekend sees a battle between Scandinavian high pressure verses Atlantic low pressure. Initially, the high (still intensifying) over Scandinavia will win the fight, preventing Atlantic weather fronts from progressing eastward. There appears to be some good cross-model agreement, that the bulk of the long holiday weekend […]
March has been a tale of two halves with cold first half followed by mild second and drastically different compared to February in the rainfall department. The precipitation anomaly between February and March is the complete opposite, temperature-wise, it looks to fall a fraction BELOW AVERAGE compared to the warm February. February 2023 February 2023 […]
Following a colder-than-average December and only colder month compared to average in 2022, January will wind up slightly above average. A warm opening 10 days and cold following 10, the final 7 days looks to tip the balance on the slightly above average side… Based on a non-development of a sudden stratospheric warning or SSW, […]
December 2022 marks a significant turnaround to what’s been a warm year. In fact the warmest year on record many parts of Europe including UK. December 2022 has been a distinct tail of two halves with a very cold first 15 days followed by much milder 2nd half. The month featured the deepest December -AO/NAO […]
Welcome to my 13th annual winter forecast for Europe. In this forecast, the conclusions drawn for the upcoming 90-day meteorological winter period are based on the current state of solar cycle 25, current ocean and atmospheric drivers and my understanding of their potential influence. Of course, pinpointing any specific pattern several weeks or months ahead […]
Recent Comments