Thundery, Wet Week (no washout) For UK, Ireland While Iberia Eyes First 40C!

Written by on May 16, 2022 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

Following what’s been a warm, very dry March and April for the UK, Ireland and much of north/central Europe, it’s been a cool and very wet spring for Iberia. That changes this week as a trough deepens over the Atlantic and dives southward towards the Azores while strong high pressure spins over Europe.

With Atlantic low pressure digging south and Europe high to the east, a strong southerly flow will draw hot Africa origin air up over Iberia and will likely produce Europe’s first 40C of 2022 by the end of this week. Unusual? Perhaps a bit but temperatures reached 42.9C setting a new Spain and Europe May record back in 2015.

Meanwhile the UK finds itself too close to the Atlantic trough and so while a warm, humid southerly flow will sweep partially over the UK, low pressure looks to win the battle for British air space.

Quite a different rainfall anomaly chart this week vs what’s been seen so far this spring.

Upcoming 7 day rainfall anomaly.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

The dry April 2022 follows a recent trend likely due to solar and La Nina.

As we’ll see often this week, disturbances meeting warmth and humidity mean only one thing, showers and thunderstorms with the potential for flooding. Scotland looks to be fresher with ‘continental warmth’ never truly making it, That being said, temperatures will rise in the sunshine to between 16-20, locally 21C.

Credit: wxcharts.com

Credit: wxcharts.com

Credit: wxcharts.com

By no means it’s a washout, in fact, lengthy sunshine between systems will allow temperatures to respond nicely, particularly Tuesday as temperatures could widely reach the low to mid 20s in southern and eastern England, 26C around London.

For much of Iberia, temperatures rise through the week as winds blow out of the south with 30s expanding and intensifying over the ‘oven of Spain’, likely peaking at 40-42C late week or the weekend. France could see mid to high 30s!

Credit: wxcharts.com

Credit: wxcharts.com

Credit: wxcharts.com

Credit: wxcharts.com

FEATURED IMAGE CREDIT: wxcharts.com

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