No Need To Worry About Drought Or A Summer 2018 Repeat

Written by on June 18, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

Despite the UK seeing it’s driest spring on record, nature is quickly catching up on it’s rainfall deficit. While I expected this flip and hush of drought and summer 2018 repeat talk, this has come quicker than I thought.

In just the past 7 days of June alone, many sites have seen more rain than in the entire meteorological spring season (March-May) and there’s plenty more to come as we press through the final 12 days of the month.

Credit: Dan Holley

Total rainfall accumulation for the UK for June so far.

Based on the month so far and what’s expected through the remainder of the month, I am confident that we start July with healthy soil moisture content. Does that mean we don’t get hot? No, but a prolonged heat wave is looking less likely in my opinion IF WE CONTINUE TO SEE RAIN and in fact we could go the other way where summer continues to see ‘wetter than average’ conditions.

While the focus of heaviest rain is over England and Wales now, the focus turns to Scotland as the Icelandic low returns. Drier and warmer for England, Wales and near continent.

CFSv2 week 1 and 2 has above normal rain for UK and much of central and east Europe. Drier for the southwest where it’s been very wet.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Total rainfall expected according to the GFS through rest of June.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

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