Archive for November 19th, 2018

Even in late 2018, how can long range models be so wrong even 10 days out?

Written by on November 19, 2018 in Rest of Europe, United States of America with 0 Comments
Even in late 2018, how can long range models be so wrong even 10 days out?

You’d think that by now, modelling would be at least close to be correct. I’m not talking ‘months’ in advance but more 10 days… The CFSv2 showed a very warm November for the US with warmer and warmer runs the closer it got to November. In reality we’re witnessing one of the coldest Novembers. As […]

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Being Careful not to predict cold too quick

Written by on November 19, 2018 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Being Careful not to predict cold too quick

I know I keep going on about this but I feel strong about this. There has been a great deal of hype and buying into individual ‘cold model runs’ lately. Do that was caution at this early stage, especially when the models see big cold blocking patterns but with little PV disruption. While there has […]

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