Despite encountering shear, some dry air and even the crossing of a cool ocean eddy, Michael has continued to strengthen. Just yesterday morning Michael was a tropical storm but as of this writing, he has become a 120 mph Category 3, poised to be one of, if not thee strongest hurricane to ever make landfall in Northwest Florida. Michael will be the first major to hit the Panhandle since Dennis in 2005.
Visible satellite shows a deepening ring of convection around most of the eye with improving outflow cirrus.
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While #Michael not yet successful in having a persistent distinct circular eye appearance on IR imagery, the central pressure keeps dropping… and there's an old saying that 'the pressure doesn't lie'… pic.twitter.com/lCJmS901ak
— Stu Ostro (@StuOstro) October 9, 2018
New plane finds 958mb central pressure in #Michael, 8mb lower than previous mission a few hours ago. Rather quick strengthening during the intervening period. pic.twitter.com/JdrdsiUvYJ
— Levi Cowan (@TropicalTidbits) October 9, 2018
#Michael moving away from a cold core eddy in the SE GOM likely explains its accelerating organization lately. Higher OHC keeps BL CAPE higher for a longer duration, providing an opportunity for deeper & more frequent convective bursts/VHTs to encapsulate & symmetrize wrt the eye pic.twitter.com/wcd9pMRUay
— Eric Webb (@webberweather) October 9, 2018
#GOES16 VIS/IR sandwich loop of Hurricane #Michael – 1-minute time steps pic.twitter.com/3wMC5D1jOv
— Dan Lindsey (@DanLindsey77) October 10, 2018
9 major #hurricanes have made landfall in the Florida Panhandle on record (since 1851). Here's the landfall stats on each of these storms. #HurricaneMichael #Michael pic.twitter.com/ocGsHS0q8i
— Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) October 9, 2018
Since 1950, three major (Category 3+) #hurricanes have made landfall in the Florida Panhandle: Eloise (1975), Opal (1995) and Dennis (2005). #HurricaneMichael #Michael pic.twitter.com/LxVqtBv1wV
— Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) October 9, 2018
Modelling is a good agreement on track which takes the eye ashore around Panama City as a strong Cat 3 or even a 4 between 12 noon and 3pm tomorrow afternoon.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
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