It’s turned November-like over the western Prairies of Canada and this looks to be a hint of what’s to come further south as we depart Sept and say hello to Oct. Note the ridge building into AK.
Here’s the GFS ensemble

Credit: Tropical Tidbits
6-10

Credit: Tropical Tidbits
2m temp anomaly for 6-10.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits
CFSv2 2m anomaly for week 2 is more bullish than GFS ensemble.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits
How far east the cold trough gets remains to be seen.
Interestingly the operational shows low pressure moving east across the Dakotas and Minnesota and this opens the door to an early cold shot.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Just some brief Friday night thoughts. More in the October outlook on Sunday!
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