US May 2018 Outlook (Includes Video)

Written by on April 23, 2018 in United States of America with 0 Comments

Despite the current warm-up, April 2018 is likely to go down as one of the coldest on record for the Northern, possibly Central Plains and Midwest with all sorts of records falling from snow to record cold days and nights.

According to Joe Bastardi of weatherbell.com, the first 21 days of April were 3rd coldest in the satellite era which dates back to the late 1970s.

April anomaly to date.

Credit: Michael Ventrice

Interestingly April’s final week (with exception of the Great Basin) shall see the core of warmth in the very areas which suffered the chill most. Indeed it’s cool from Texas to DC.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

One of the biggest factors we may want to watch during May is the drought and potential worsening of the drought with extreme drought now firmly established from Four Corners to West Texas/Oklahoma. As a consequence 100-degree heat have arrived early but thankfully the current pattern has brought the return to cooler. However, a dry May is likely to lead to a hot May and a hot June, July would look inevitable.

As well as the lack of rainfall, there’s a record lack of tornadoes too.

The Southeast may also need watching.

The CFSv2 shows near to slightly below average precipitation in the worst drought area.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Going by the CFSv2 weeklies, there appears to be no turnaround during May for the areas under severe to extreme drought currently.

The model indicates a warmer than normal month. That remains to be seen but plausible if the dry expands and intensifies for some.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

FEATURED IMAGE CREDIT: Ammodramus

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