Storm Weary Northeast Prepare For 4th Nor’easter Within 2 Weeks

Written by on March 10, 2018 in United States of America, Winter 2017/18 with 0 Comments

The deeply negative NAO, east QBO, favourable MJO are fuelling this wild Nor’easter storm train for the Northeast and all eyes are on the next Northeast coastal storm which is developing over the TN valley.

Before we look at the latest, here are the totals for the last system just days ago. Note the big contrast between little to none and 2ft over New Jersey.

No question the last system was a bust for NYC based on forecast vs reality.

That system which dropped nearly 30 inches on parts of New Jersey and Massachusetts follows back to back major ‘weather bomb’s which brought severe wind and coastal flooding as well as nearly 40 inches of snow to the Catskill Mountains.

weather.com

There’s still considerable uncertainty with this next developing system as it bundles energy with a southbound trough. The timing of it’s phasing is key on feedback and position of development of the coastal low. Position and track as you know will be key as to whether the Big Cities catch anything or get hit by a doosey.

It seems when the models are bullish on heavy snow for NYC it doesn’t materialise but with little, it can score big time.

Latest GFS is unenthusiastic but the last chart shows a little more flare for eastern Mass.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

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