Storm Eleanor followed by another low then Arctic door reopens this weekend? Easterly next week?

Storm Eleanor sweeps W-E across Northern Ireland and southern Scotland tonight packing 70-80 mph gusts on it’s southern flank.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

This puts the Republic, southern Northern Ireland, northern England and SW Scotland in the firing line. Gusty winds of 40-50 mph possible anywhere in England and Wales, less windy beneath and north of the low over Scotland.

Another low pushes through late week bringing more wind and rain but once that low exits into the North Sea, we once again open up the arctic door.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

After a biting NE wind through the second half of Friday and Saturday, the high building in over Scotland from Iceland will provide clear skies and light winds and possibly the coldest nights of winter for the Highlands.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

We’ve the perfect setup of snow cover under the centre of a cold 1040mb high.

Credit: wxcharts.eu

Credit: wxcharts.eu

Credit: wxcharts.eu

So, the cold hits but does it hold? Models including the GFS say the 1040 high lifts ENE into Scandinavia bringing an east, southeast flow into the UK. How cold shall be determined by how cold Europe gets.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

GFS ensemble indicates a lean towards cooler than normal for the UK through at least mid month once the cold returns this weekend.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

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