Could Hurricane Jose help snap NW Europe’s weather rut? Better 2nd half to Sep?

Written by on September 15, 2017 in Rest of Europe, Summer 2017, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

Today’s been another cool, blustery,¬†showery affair but it settles down this weekend thankfully.

May seem strange¬†to be thinking¬†frost but¬†let’s not forget that¬†we’re in mid September now¬†it shouldn’t be that much of a surprise when we’ve¬†a cool¬†high building in off the Atlantic. The threat of rural frost increases¬†tonight and particularly Saturday night¬†with clear, calm, cool¬†air in place¬†coupled with the longer hours of darkness. By day it shouldn’t feel as cool as it has been¬†with lighter winds and more sun compared to the last couple of days.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

As for next week, we start fairly settled but the high gives way another disturbance and we return to the unsettled Tuesday with a more substantial system arriving Wednesday-Thursday.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

While our midweek system progresses east across the UK we watch Jose exit Newfoundland. The influence of Jose could go two ways late week into next weekend with more lows crossing the NW UK with high pressure influencing the near continent and southern UK. However Jose’s influence could finally bring an end to the Atlantic bombardment as the remnants sweep NNW into Iceland and pumps the Azores high north in and over the UK proper.¬†If that happens¬†we’re likely in for¬†some decent weather for a prolonged period.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

GFS ensemble is certainly hinting at more N Atlantic trough, western Europe ridging in the mid to longer term with the heat transfer of Jose into the mid latitudes.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

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