The tropics are lighting up with potentially the season’s 2nd hurricane and 8th named storm within the next 24 hours.
Thanks to a cold front exiting the East Coast, Tropical Storm Gert shall remain a fish storm and pose no direct threat on the US but indirect impacts include increased surf and rip currents on the beaches.
Gert is the 7th named storm of the 2017 season and it’s the first season to have had 7 storms before Aug 13 since 2005 and only the 3rd time on record.
W/ upgrade of TD8 to TS #Gert, 2017 Atlantic up to 7 named storms.
Only THREE years have had 7 or more NS by 8/13:
1936, 1995, and 2005 pic.twitter.com/Nf2m3qffAA— Sam Lillo (@splillo) August 13, 2017
Gert is expected to become the Atlantic’s 2nd hurricane and could fire to Cat 2 status before weakening over the colder, more hostile NW Atlantic.
As for 91L to the west of Cabo Verde, it has a shot at developing into TS Harvey en-route towards the Leeward Is and given it’s projected further south and west track, this is likely to pose a threat to the Leewards then perhaps Hispaniola.
Credit: weather.com
Credit: weather.com
Some modelling has Harvey to be a classic long tracked Cabo Verde hurricane with a Gulf Coast threat!
Looks like we’re entering a favorable MJO phase so Gert and likely Harvey may not be the only boys in town over the next 10-15 days.
Here is the robust relationship between the MJO and Atlantic Hurricanes. Hurricanes are more frequent when active MJO passes Atlantic and IO pic.twitter.com/LrCHveTfMc
— Michael Ventrice (@MJVentrice) August 14, 2017
Certainly plenty of fuel for anything coming into the Gulf.
Some of the warmest ocean temperatures on the planet are in the Gulf of Mexico; Serves to fuel strong hurricanes if one manages to move over pic.twitter.com/U3282iJBZt
— Michael Ventrice (@MJVentrice) August 14, 2017
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