W EUROPE: Unsettled weekend but high pressure pattern expected to hit & hold for rest of June

After another thoroughly wet, windy and downright cool day (esp Scotland), today is fairing much better but there’s still plenty of showers following a northward area of rain lifting through Scotland this afternoon.

Check out the temperature difference to start yesterday verses this morning.

Meteoceil

Meteoceil

Big difference was the cloud, breeze and rain spreading north this morning compared to the clear and calm which allowed temperatures to dip below freezing quite widely across the Highlands.

This morning’s infrared shows yesterday’s low departing and the next approaching Ireland.

Credit: EUMETSAT

The system approaching Ireland above shall be the UK’s weekend weather maker continuing with the unsettled theme. Another Atlantic low moves into England and Wales tonight spreading north across Scotland tomorrow. Heavy, possibly thundery showers follow but the main front stalls over England during Saturday making for a disappointing day.

For Sunday it’s back to sun and showers, becoming frequent and blustery in Scotland but drier, warmer over England, esp London and SE.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

The SW flow over Iberia, triggered by the low NW of Scotland, should help lift temperatures to the 40C mark over southern Spain.

Credit: MeteoGib

Credit: MeteoGib

For those Northern Irish and Scots now sick of the cool, showery, breezy weather, there is some good news on the horizon.

As heights lower and the jet dips southward over the Atlantic during next week in response to a pattern change over North America, heights over the UK and Western Europe promoting more sunshine, lighter winds and warmth will be the result.

The fly in the ointment however is Monday through Thursday could be iffy over Northern Ireland and Scotland with lows still a little too close for comfort and so the breeze and showers may remain a threat but high pressure builds bodily over the UK by late week into the weekend.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

CFSv2 has this high pressure pattern holding through the rest of June…

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Let’s watch the models as they come in over the weekend. I’m hoping newer runs take lows a little further N and W of Scotland during next week, keeping us more sunny rather than showery.

FEATURED IMAGE CREDIT: LDN fromthe Rooftops‏ @London_Rooftops

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