While the Atlantic trough remains strong and firmly anchored from Greenland down into the North Atlantic, throwing lows towards Iceland and Scotland, the Azores high is also strengthening and as a direct result it’s warmed to early summer levels in southern Iberia with milder air drifting up as far as the southerly UK.
Low pressure close to Scotland’s north coast is providing a blustery day here across Scotland, especially so across the far north and islands.
While warm down in Iberia, the Canary Islands is enjoying MID SUMMER HEAT, thanks to that strengthening Azores high positioned to the north and the year’s first hot, dusty Calima wind into the Canaries underneath.
This transports hot, dusty air from Africa westward into the Canaries with highs reaching the 30s in parts of Gran Canaria and Tenerife.
After seeing a rare snow back in January, the holiday vista of Malaga reached 28.5C yesterday and today, it’s back up there a little further west.
For us here, we shall remain in the battle zone between Azores high pressure trying to push it’s influence northward while the Atlantic trough and pinwheel of lows, refuse to let go.
So, it’s often windy with a mix of sun and showers coupled with longer spells of rain for western and northern UK, always that bit drier, brighter and milder for southern areas but we have a distinct surge of spring-like air late this week AHEAD of an approaching front attached to the latest incoming low.
That sweeps through bringing it’s wind, rain and colder slap, then ahead of the next approaching front, we may see a stronger warm surge early next week before another, potentially sharper cool down.
The below 850mb temps show the mild following by colder. The mild/cold next week could have a level of extreme with 20C possible in southern England (however latest run shows the true mild being deflected from UK some) following by snow and cold in Scotland 2 days later! Check out the near 20C at 5k feet above the Canaries late week. Upper 30sC at the surface in a few favoured spots?