We’ve reached mid November and we have a classic autumnal rollercoaster of weather this week. With a jet stream to the north and stiff southwesterly, the UK is starting off the week downright warm while on the opposite end of the continent, Ukraine and Southeast Europe is digging out.
The below GFS 850mb temp chart shows the warm southwest flow feeding mid-Atlantic warmth up over Ireland and UK while low pressure spinning north of the Black Sea is driving Siberian air into southeast Europe.
With this SW flow comes a lot of moisture!
These OVERNIGHT lows would be above average by daytime at this time of year!
With sunshine to the lee of the Grampians, 18C is possible on the Moray Coast this afternoon!
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It shall remain mild through Tuesday but the big change and downright trend in temperature comes mid week as a potent cold front sweeps through. Polar-maritime air follows this cold front.
With a steep pressure gradient, westerly winds increase through late Wednesday and Thursday with snow levels over the Northern UK falling. Low pressure ESE of Iceland will help feed Greenland air into the UK-bound flow and so expect Thursday’s highs to hold at just 4 or 5C with nights falling to around freezing or below.
Check out these projected daytime maximums Friday compared to today!
By late week, that low near Iceland sweeps SE and we see heights rise over the UK so we loose the wind but hold onto the cold air and so expect drier brighter weather this weekend but cold, frosty nights.
18z today vs 18z Friday off the GFS
BURIED: Balkans To Ukraine
This beast produced not only heavy snow but strong winds which led to blizzard conditions and a lot of blowing and drifting this past weekend over Southeast Europe.
Check out these incredible images from the weekend snowstorm from Croatia to Ukraine and Russia.
Gorski Kotar, Croatia.
Kolasin, Montenegro
Ternopol, Ukraine
Ternopol, Ukraine
Up to 50cm of snow fell in Ukraine with impressive snow rates in the Capital Kiev.
See this morning’s video.
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