UNSETTLED WEEKEND AHEAD BUT HURRICANE NICOLE TO BRING CHANGE NEXT WEEK

Written by on October 14, 2016 in Autumn 2016, Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

The easterlies continue but not for long as low pressure lifts north from Iberia introducing milder but more unsettled Atlantic weather. The continental influence will hang on today and confined to NE Scotland tomorrow with driving rain and a gale blowing off the North Sea. Intense shower pulses associated with the low lifting north will spread into southern/central Ireland and the UK.

Credit: BBC Weather

Credit: BBC Weather

Credit: BBC Weather

Credit: BBC Weather

The low lingers through Sunday.

Credit: BBC Weather

Credit: BBC Weather

However, it’s what Hurricane Nicole does that will change our pattern with a resumption of a more typical westerly flow.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Nicole is currently NE of Bermuda and undergoing the transition but it shall remain a deep entity as it meanders the Western Atlantic through the next several days.

It’s indirect influence comes early to mid next week as the Azores high positioned to it’s east begins to get push NNE up the western side of Ireland, initially driving a chilly if not cold northerly flow down over the UK but models are quite consistent at pushing the entire high in over the UK settling the pattern down mid to late next week which would bring pleasant days but increasingly cold nights.

The below GFS ensemble 5-day means for 500mb, precip and temp anomalies show the Azores high migrating northward towards Iceland then sliding in over the UK, thanks to Nicole’s injection of heat into the mid-latitude pattern.

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

See this morning’s video.

[/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]

Follow us

Connect with Mark Vogan on social media to get notified about new posts and for the latest weather updates.

Subscribe via RSS Feed Connect on YouTube

Leave a Reply

Top