For us here in the British Isles and since the departure of high pressure at the close of June’s opening week, our best hope for summer warmth this year has been the northward surge of heat between weather systems. Looks we our window opens Sunday through Tuesday as some significant heat transfers north from Africa up over Spain.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
FEATURE IMAGE CREDIT: Simon Cardy
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With the warming trend kicking in Sunday, it’s likely to peak Tuesday with 28C possible in and around London which would make for the warmest day of the year.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Unfortunately the break comes as early as Tuesday night.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
The CFSv2 weekly shows a very short lived warm surge with predictable flip in upper heights between days 1-5 and 6-10.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Even out to the 11-15 day, it’s a trough not ridge that holds over the UK.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
2m temps reflect the above.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Hard to believe in a mere 12 or 13 days I’ll be issuing the 3rd and final outlook for summer 2006. Have we hope for better weather in August?
Interestingly, when looking back over the last decade, August hasn’t been too kind to us according to the below graphic compiled by Liam Dutton.
Credit: Liam Dutton
Latest CFSv2 for August
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
At this moment in time, I think August follows the disappointing trend of June and July to date.
Next update will be Monday AM!
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