UK: Summer Likely To Reappear Next Weekend

For the past few days and even beyond, the models have suggested next weekend will be very different to this weekend across the UK. The unsettled theme shall continue through at least the first half of the upcoming week but towards next weekend, the jet and unsettled weather looks to finally lift to our north and west allowing the Azores ridge to pump warm summer weather up through the UK.

The exact position of where the front lays to rest for a couple of days remains uncertain but there’s growing confidence that summer should return to all of mainland Britain next weekend. Whether the Western and Northern Isles join in remains to be seen.

Below is the current 500mb height anomaly verses next Friday and Saturday off the ECMWF.

FEATURE IMAGE CREDIT: ekosgen @ekosgen

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Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

The model has a nice vertically stacked high pressure system from surface to 18,000ft up with large and deep column of descending air which heats as it compresses. With the ridge core centred over Belgium, a southwest flow will help transport Iberian air up over the UK boasting temperatures.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Forecasted highs according to the ECMWF for next Saturday and Sunday.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

With the help of downslope off the Cairngorm/Grampian, towns near the Moray or North Sea coast to the lee of the mountains could see 27C.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Warmth lingers even over Scotland into Monday but the front is expected to drift southeast back over Scotland bringing a return to cooler and unsettled. We are likely to see even warmer air across Southern Britain as a result of the front sagging SE slightly.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

See today’s video.

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