Hot July From Tennessee Valley To New England On The Cards As Drought Worsens!

Written by on June 29, 2016 in Summer 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments

We continue to watch the evolution of this pattern and model solutions as we enter July. The two areas I believe will turn very warm in July is the Southeast first then Northeast as 30 and 60 day negative rain anomalies take their toll.

20160621_conus_chng_8W

Credit: WeatherBell

Credit: WeatherBell

Credit: WeatherBell

Credit: WeatherBell

Credit: WeatherBell

Credit: WeatherBell

As shown in today’s video, I suspect the currently cool Great Lakes, Midwest turns to very warm or hot next week as the trough leaves and is replaced by a ridge.

GFS ensemble shows this.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

In the 11-15, the GFS ens cools the Upper Midwest again but keeps Southeast and Northeast warm, likely enhanced by the dry soil.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

CFSv2 for July makes a lot of sense.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Don’t be surprised to see Atlanta, New York and Boston all take a run at 100F in July.

See today’s video.

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