Blistering Libyan Heat To Cross Med Into Greece, Turkey, Cool Now But Summer Returns To UK 25-30th June

While it remains cool and unsettled over much of Western and Central Europe, a persistent low spinning over the North of Italy will help draw the first heat wave of summer out of an increasingly scalding Libya across the Med into Greece and Turkey. This weekend will host widespread mid to upper 30s, even some low 40s are possible. Next week sees this hot, humid, stifling air migrate north across the Black Sea into Ukraine and Russia where again, we’ll see mid, even upper 30s.

By later next week, ridging begins to build over Iberia and this twin ridge pattern over SW and SE Europe essentially traps low pressure over Italy and the Alps where it shall remain stormy. Hot air migrates north from Morocco and Algeria into Spain and Portugal where here too, low 40s is expected.

Credit: John Galea ‏@johngalea

Credit: John Galea ‏@johngalea

These two ridges hook up over the cut off low over Italy and summer heat covers much of Europe by June 23rd. I suspect widespread 20s covering the UK and Ireland between June 25-30th.

FEATURE IMAGE CREDIT: UNHCR/E.Champagne

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Looks increasingly likely that we join in on the warm summer weather to end June and commence July!!

500mb height anomalies

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

GFS surface

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eu_29

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

gfs_T2m_eu_27

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

See this morning’s video.

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