EUROPE: Remaining Changeable Into Early June With No Heatwave On Horizon!

As forecasted way back last weekend, conditions were to go downhill over the UK but head up across Portugal and Spain, looks like we may flip the other way again early next week as low pressure returns to Iberia while high pressure returns to the UK.

However! This high is far from strong, sunny and warm like last week but at least it provides a somewhat drier, quieter spell of weather late Sunday through Tuesday, albeit cloudy and cool with a northerly air flow holding temps between 10-20C.

The past two days has seen the UK fail to reach 20C while down in Spain it reached 33C with mid/upper 20s up the Med coast.

Today through Saturday looks rather wet with showers and longer spells of moderate to at times heavy rain along with a keen south wind as our next lows sweeps in off the Atlantic.

As stated, it’s an improving picture for the UK Sunday through at least Tuesday but low pressure looks to spread areas of rain from France/Germany north up into the UK with high to the NW and low to the SW we have a warmer continental flow, albeit with rain and thunderstorms likely.

Spain will hold onto another few very warm to hot days but here too, temps trend slowly down as cloud increases west-east.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

When looking at the GFS ensemble 5-day mean 500mb height anomaly, notice the shift in upper pattern between the upcoming 5 day and following 6-10.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Even within the 6-10, we’re only barely holding average to slightly above temperature wise and keep in mind this is us into June. Note it’s cooler than normal down in Iberia.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

gfs-ens_T2maMean_eu_6

The June Outlook will be released this Sunday!

See this morning’s video.

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

[/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]

Follow us

Connect with Mark Vogan on social media to get notified about new posts and for the latest weather updates.

Subscribe via RSS Feed Connect on YouTube

Leave a Reply

Top