Atlantic Low To Give Way To Continental High Again But When Exactly?

Wet today, Sat, Sun and Mon across many parts of the UK as Atlantic low pressure rules

Latest GFS surface through the rest of this week and into early next week.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

GFS indicates the Icelandic low collapses but shifts to a position WNW of Portugal (similar to last week) and with a strengthening Iceland-Scandinavia blocking high, Atlantic fronts are likely to spread up into Ireland, England and Wales but weaken on approach to NI and Scotland late next week.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

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The drier, more settled trend in the models remain beyond the next 5-7 days.

GFS ensemble 5-day mean 500mb height anomaly

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

7-day precip anomaly

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Building heights and a drier trend typically results in warmer weather.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

See this morning’s video.

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