Icelandic Low Returns Next Week Bringing Back Wet & Windy UK, Warm, Dry Spain

The feature image above shows the latest visible satellite image across the Atlantic. Note the large swirl of low pressure now exiting eastern Canada. That is our game changer next week.

Before I get into next week, beneath clear skies, light wind and a cooler, drier air mass in place, temps widely dipped to freezing or slightly below across the Northern UK last night with a pretty widespread frost.

Credit: Mark Vogan

Credit: Mark Vogan

The thermometer dipped to -6C at Tulloch Bridge where we had a hard frost and freeze. This may seen rare but as a matter of fact, 6 out of the last 10 May’s has seen a -6C. Since at least 2001, there hasn’t been a temperature lower than -6.3C.

The UK record low for May is -9.4C, recorded on 3 separate occasions in the same month of 1941.

Notes and asides

Last May was the UK’s coldest in 19 years with a maximum of just 23C and a minimum of -5.6C at Tulloch Bridge.

In May 2005 we saw -6.3C recorded as late as the 27th and this was the coldest, so late, since 1956. That same month also saw 31.9C in London, ironically this was the warmest in May since 1947.

With the exception of the North Sea Coast, temps recover quickly and by mid afternoon, expect low to mid teens. Without any wind, that will feel comfortable.

Credit: Met Office

Credit: Met Office

Those clear skies, light winds and cool, dry air means another cold frosty one for inland rural parts tonight. Another -6C cannot be ruled out.

Credit: Met Office

Credit: Met Office

As for next week, the flood gates of Atlantic low pressure opens up and we can expect a series of wet and windy systems to sweep across Ireland and the UK as well as digging the trough and cool over the heart of Europe.

Credit: Met Office

Credit: Met Office

Credit: Met Office

Credit: Met Office

Credit: Met Office

Credit: Met Office

Beyond the 7 day and into fantasy land, the models continue to show an unsettled pattern but the ridge builds north.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

I spoke to a friend this morning who’s daughter has just returned from Salou, Costa Dorada. If you’ve been reading and watching, you’ll be well aware of how poor the weather’s been down in Spain and Portugal in the past 10 days.

The good news for those set to head down there perhaps this weekend or next week, the return of the Iceland low/Azores high means a more westerly and further north jet stream which provides drier, warmer and more seasonable weather across Iberia but it’s at our expense just as the warm, sunny weather here has been at the expense of those down in Iberia.

Our Bi-Polar Spring Continues

GFS ensemble shows the negative north/positive south developing, particularly into the day 6-10.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

After a pretty warm past week, we’ve quite the turnaround coming next 5 days.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

No post tomorrow but will have a full update again Monday.

See this morning’s video.

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

[/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]

Follow us

Connect with Mark Vogan on social media to get notified about new posts and for the latest weather updates.

Subscribe via RSS Feed Connect on YouTube

Leave a Reply

Top