UK: Seesaw NAO Provides Weekend By Weekend Contrasts Of Both Summer (Last) & Winter (This), Next?

It really has been a spectacular week of weather, particularly across Northern Ireland and Scotland, not so much further south across England and Wales.

What a day to take a drive up the A9 to Inverness yesterday. Here are the views at Dalwhinnie that I captured. Dash read 24C.

Credit: Mark Vogan

Credit: Mark Vogan

Credit: Mark Vogan

Credit: Mark Vogan

Yesterday’s highs.

Credit: Meteoceil

Credit: Meteoceil

The Isle of Skye has probably been thee place to be in terms of dawn till dust sunshine and warmest temperature, although West Freugh near Stranraer in the SW took the ‘warm spot’ price yesterday.

Credit: Met Office

Credit: Met Office

Another Med-like morning on Skye today!

Credit: Traffic Scotland

Credit: Traffic Scotland

On the bottom end of the British Isles, it’s been anything but sunny!

Credit: BBC Weather

Credit: BBC Weather

Credit: BBC Weather

Credit: BBC Weather

While temps remain pleasant today with low 20s again in the warmest western spots, it’s England and Wales that are temporarily turning up the thermometer today and likely to steal the warm spot from Scotland since last weekend.

Credit: Met Oiffice

Credit: Met Office

The downward trend has begun, today will be warm but less warm but tomorrow and Saturday sees a more noticeable change and may feel quite chilly in the breeze.

Credit: Met Office

Credit: Met Office

Culprit is that wind shift from SE to NNE.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

There will be quite a shock between today and tomorrow!

Credit: BBC Weather

Credit: BBC Weather

Credit: BBC Weather

Credit: BBC Weather

Although there’s still plenty of dry, sunny weather to still enjoy, temperatures will be near half of what they were early this week.

What a difference this weekend will be compared to last!

Credit: Met Office

Credit: Met Office

Credit: Met Office

Credit: Met Office

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Cold, Frosty Nights Return

So, to summarise, the UK weather pattern remains predominantly dry, bright or indeed sunny but the big difference is the drop in temperature. With high pressure building in from the Atlantic, winds shall be fairly light and by day that means 10-16C will feel nice beneath the strong mid May sun, by night however, rural frost is likely so you’ll want to cover up your tender plants.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Next Week

Next week isn’t looking too bad. The latest run of the GFS has indeed slowed down the westerly flow and systems which do cross our skies, doesn’t look too nasty, a day or so of cloudier skies and outbreaks of rain but plenty of usable weather with some warmth in between. It looks to turn more unsettled with an increase in jet stream strength through the 2nd half of the week and Scotland appears to bear the brunt of increased wind and spells of moderate to heavy rain. SW flow and brighter skies further south could means some pleasant, warm sunshine.

GFS surface through next week.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Warmth Returning?

There is increasing confidence that the end of May will host warmer weather again.

NAO trending positive following a dip.

nao_sprd2

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

See this morning’s video.

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