SSW Responsible For Record Eastern US Cold & It’s This That Will Determine It’s Fate

Written by on April 7, 2016 in Spring 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments

We know that’s it’s going to warm up and remain warm but the question is when?

According to the GFS ensemble, we begin to see the ridge take over day 10-14 and that’s really from April 15 onwards…

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

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What’s rather interesting however is that the typically warm CFSv2 weeklies hold the cold through the remainder of April…

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

EPS control? It merely modifies the chill day 10-15, not convincing on a sudden surge of summer.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

For me, a lot depends upon how long the AO/NAO remains firmly negative.

ao_sprd2

nao_sprd2

Keep in mind that it was the strat warming back in March which kicked this all off. It was this that delivered and it’s up to this that will essentially determine when winter ends and summer starts.

gfs_t50_nh_f00

Clue, watch for the cooling…

See today’s video.

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