Midwest Wind/Snow System Then East Coast System, Snowstorm, No Snowstorm?

Written by on March 16, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments

Lot’s of uncertainty as we head into the weekend but before we get there we have a major storm system to deal with over the Upper Midwest. Rain, local severe weather on it’s leading edge but strong to potentially damaging wind along with heavy snow on it’s rear may bring blizzard conditions to the western shore of Lake Superior.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Winds whipping around the backside of this departing storm system could well cause travel and power issues.

Credit: AccuWeather

Credit: AccuWeather

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ECMWF 10m wind gusts later tonight.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Let’s not forget the 1-2ft of wind blown snow for the Arrowhead of Minnesota into Wisconsin.

Credit: AccuWeather

Credit: AccuWeather

ECMWF snow through next 150 hrs.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Regarding the weekend into early next week Northeast snow scenario, a 50 mile west or east shift in track will make all the difference.

Credit: AccuWeather

Credit: AccuWeather

A system crossing the Northeast Friday ultimately sets the stage for the late weekend system as it leaves cold behind over the Northeast as well as digs the trough which forces the storm track south along the Gulf Coast then takes it north.

Credit: AccuWeather

Credit: AccuWeather

Note the warmth currently but it’s replaced by cold air in the wake of the Friday system.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Trouble is this was the ECMWF snow projection just yesterday.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Today it’s this.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

New GFS is more optimistic.

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Once the system reaches the Carolina coast, we’ll have a much better idea as to whether this thing leaves and heads out into the Atlantic where it’s a non event or whether it runs up the coast becoming a significant late season snowstorm.

California Continues To Improve

We’re seeing reporting stations near NorCal reservoirs running 130% of normal.

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Interesting to see the Sacramento River running brown following recent heavy rain.

Credit: NASA

Credit: NASA

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Interestingly, the very system which the Northeast is watching closely for late weekend, looks to bring a decent little snow event to the Front Range. The low develops over Texas and with cold air descending south down over the Rockies and Plains, moisture lifts north and presents 3-6 inches of snow to Denver late week.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_10

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See today’s video.

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