Cold, Blustery, Wintry Valentine’s Day Weekend For UK While Windstorm Sweeps France, Iberia

Written by on February 12, 2016 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments

As your well aware, we have a cold and blustery weekend in store with wind, rain and snow skirting the far South but a real blasting down over France.

The further north you go over the UK, the colder the air and stiffer the easterly becomes with snow showers pushing in off the North Sea.

BBC weekend breakdown.

Credit: BBC Weather

Credit: BBC Weather

Snow showers may well reach inland parts, including Glasgow tomorrow.

Credit: Weather Co Europe

Credit: Weather Co Europe

GFS surface for 12z Saturday.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

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Credit@ AccuWeather

Credit@ AccuWeather

On the southern flank of the low, expect widespread gusts of 50-60 mph for inland central/southern France while the exposed Atlantic coast sees 70-80, locally 90 mph.

Credit: Weather Co Europe

Credit: Weather Co Europe

Wind and wave warnings have been released.

Credit: Meteo France

Credit: Meteo France

The worst of this ‘cold spell’ hits late weekend into early next week as the secondary low pushes through the Channel and heads for Germany while high pressure builds between Iceland and Scotland. This will drive a biting northeast wind across the UK from Scandinavia.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

GFS projected snow cover at 72 and 96 hrs. This will be key as to how low the temperature will go.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Daytime maximums will likely range between 0 and 5C for much of the UK with below freezing wind chills. By night expect a widespread frost, hard across the north and where there’s lying snow, we should see -10C or lower with a run at the season’s coldest temperature of -12C.

While tonight, Sat and Sun nights will be cold, especially for central and northern UK, both GFS and ECMWF have Tue morning as coldest.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

The chill holds through Mon-Tue but into Wednesday and it looks like Atlantic low pressure brings the return of milder southwest winds.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Interestingly the GFS ensemble 5 day mean holds the chill into the 6-10 day.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tisbits

Credit: Tropical Tisbits

See this morning’s video for the discussion.
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