Climbing Aonach Mor Today, Snow Expected Parts Of NI, N England, S/C Scotland

It’s 4.45am and about to hit the road after defrosted my car. Thermals are on and taking the 2.5 hour drive up to Fort William where I am attempting to summit Aonach Mor elevation 4,006ft, 8th highest in UK today. This would be my 5th munro (Scottish mountain above 3,000ft) and most challenging given the solid winter conditions now in place.

Snow For Parts Of Northern Ireland, northern England, southern & central Scotland this afternoon/evening

So, today’s post is early and brief but important as ICE will be an issue for the Wed AM commute for many.

Credit: BBC Weather

Credit: BBC Weather

As for this evening’s commute, well snow may be an issue as the highlighted system crossing the central swathe of Ireland and the British Isles is pushing through colder air than we’ve seen so far and therefore snow is likely down to pretty low levels as we enter the late afternoon hours from really Manchester north to Glasgow and Edinburgh. Low levels could see a coating to an inch or so but higher road routes including M74 could see 2-4″.

Credit: BBC Weather

Credit: BBC Weather

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GFS surface/precip charts for Wednesday.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

As you can see, the GFS prints out snow through the Central Lowlands with a good few inches for the Cumbrian Fells, northern Pennines as well as the Southern Uplands.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

ECMWF

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Tricky driving conditions expected on high road routes in this part of the world this afternoon into evening and I suspect there’s a good chance of seeing snow into Glasgow and across to Edinburgh in time for the evening commute.

As for the upcoming weekend, very cold air becomes Europe wide whereas it’s been predominantly central and east focused to date.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: WSI Europe

Credit: WSI Europe

See video for a glance at the longer term.

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