It’s a rough Sunday across Ireland, UK and near continent from France to Norway as very strong, gusty winds affect millions along with heavy and frequent showers over particularly Northern Ireland, N England and Scotland. These showers have been particularly problematic when accompanied by gusts over 60 mph which have fallen as snow over Scotland leading to blizzard conditions.
An area of cloud associated with the rapid deepening of a system in the North Sea this afternoon as seen on the below satellite image is of particular concern to coastal France, Belgium, Netherlands, Denmark and Germany later today into tomorrow.
Without that North Sea development, it’s a very blustery day and cold in that wind.
The winds are particularly cold further north where there’s been a wintry mix to low levels and all snow above 1,000ft with significant accumulation in the mountains, even down to high level road routes with some closures in spots.
GSF surface setup from this morning.
The cluster of showers are rattling in fast and frequent aboard a wind which extends back to Greenland, hence the icy feel and thermometer only a few degrees above freezing.
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Winds are intense due to the pressure gradient with sub-985 lows between Greenland and Scotland verses 1032 high extending WNW from Iberia.
Notice the 50-60kt gusts expected EAST of the UK later tonight into tomorrow with 70+kts driving into Denmark with that system tonight.
Great Dun Fell in Cumbria has recently clocked a very impressive gust of 117 mph while High Bradfield clocked 97 mph.
Capel Curig (215 m) | 93 mph |
Cairngorms (1245 m) | 88 mph |
Aonach Mòr (1130 m) | 83 mph |
The Cairnwell (933 m) | 80 mph |
Dundrennan (113 m) | 75 mph |
Lake Vyrnwy (359 m) | 73 mph |
Drumalbin (245 m) | 73 mph |
Aberdaron (94 m) | 70 mph |
St Bees Head (123 m) | 70 mph |
Air temps over the ice cap this morning where down to -50C. Thankfully the 4-8C N Atlantic warms this air by as much as 50-55C by the time it reaches our shores but it still has an edge to it that’s for sure.
This is your classic +AO/NAO pattern with the mean flow coming in from the WNW which means a temperature rollercoaster. Mild ahead of the cold front, much colder with snow levels falling sharp on the backside.
Travelling over the A82, A9, A96 today? You’re likely experiencing tricky driving conditions with spells of heavy, wind driven snow.
Check out the scene along the A82 Glen Coe!
A9 Drumnochter.
As this low exits into Scandinavia and the next low swings towards the Outer Hebrides, winds turn SW and therefore we loose the chill and get back into a much milder flow from the Azores. Depending upon the timing of the system and cold front, Tuesday evening could be particularly mild and in double digits widely as the wind and rain bearing from approaching.
Once the front clears, we’re back into the colder air but according to the GFS, we’ve not got that direct flow straight from Greenland. The flow drops further south out over the Atlantic from Greenland before reaching our shores so it’s likely to be less cold than what we’ve got currently.
Then it looks like we’ve a rather wet looking system streaming in from the SW late week.
A lot more rain to come in this pattern.
See the video for today’s discussion.
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