East Coast Flood Threat Increases With Development Of Joaquin, Snowing Again In Fairbanks

Written by on September 29, 2015 in Autumn 2015, United States of America with 0 Comments

Since the last US post yesterday, we now have Tropical Storm Joaquin spinning east of the Bahamas. This looks to support a secondary tropical invasion into the East Coast following the first soaking through the next 24-36 hrs. The first system lifts up through the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast but another southeastbound cold front looks set to lift out over the Atlantic and essentially pull the rich tropical moisture from TS Joaquin into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast by this weekend.

Current view

Visible

vis-l

Infrared

rb-l

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SST’s and anomalies are plenty warm for further strengthening and or enhancing rainfall further.

SST

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Anomaly

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Here’s the current upper air setup over the next 24hrs.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Note the cold trough and storm over southern Alaska and another trough sitting along the Gulf Coast. A system will run up the coast bringing flooding rain as it connects with a cold front dropping out of the Great Lakes.

Here’s a current view of Downtown Fairbanks.

Credit: News Miner

Credit: News Miner

Credit: WeatherNation

Credit: WeatherNation

Here’s how the latest GFS sees the mid to late week scenario playing out.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Up to a foot of rain is expected over the coastal Mid-Atlantic next 5 days.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

See video for the discussion.

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