Since the last US post yesterday, we now have Tropical Storm Joaquin spinning east of the Bahamas. This looks to support a secondary tropical invasion into the East Coast following the first soaking through the next 24-36 hrs. The first system lifts up through the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast but another southeastbound cold front looks set to lift out over the Atlantic and essentially pull the rich tropical moisture from TS Joaquin into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast by this weekend.
Current view
Visible
Infrared
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SST’s and anomalies are plenty warm for further strengthening and or enhancing rainfall further.
SST
Anomaly
Here’s the current upper air setup over the next 24hrs.
Note the cold trough and storm over southern Alaska and another trough sitting along the Gulf Coast. A system will run up the coast bringing flooding rain as it connects with a cold front dropping out of the Great Lakes.
Here’s a current view of Downtown Fairbanks.
Here’s how the latest GFS sees the mid to late week scenario playing out.
Up to a foot of rain is expected over the coastal Mid-Atlantic next 5 days.
See video for the discussion.
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