The tropical Atlantic has turned quiet once again with the collapse of Erika but in the eastern basin, we’ve seen the first Cape Verde hurricane since 1892 with Fred producing 80+mph wind which caused power loss and some damage.
As for the United States, Erika may have fallen apart over Cuba with her remains drifting into the Gulf of Mexico but her legacy continues to soak Florida even today with thunderstorms.
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As stated in many recent posts, Great Lakes ridging is pumping July-like heat across the Plains, Midwest and East but probably more impressive is the trough digging down the West Coast bringing much needed rain to Washington and Oregon, even snow above 6k feet.
Below is the CFSv2 week 1 showing the West trough and Great Lakes ridge. This is an upper pattern worth watching as the US coast becomes exposed to hits underneath.
Over the next 10 days, the same upper setup is likely to hold but by mid month, there’s fairly strong indication that the ridge returns to the West while the trough heads back into the East.
Will have more tomorrow.
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