Early July Warmth Hits But Doesn’t Hold As Longer Term Cool Continues To Rule!

As you well know, July commenced record hot across much of Western Europe but since the 5th, we’ve returned to the pattern we’ve had all along and that’s an ‘Atlantic westerly’.

Here was the departures from normal across the continent yesterday.

Credit: WSI Energy

Credit: WSI Energy

Month-to-date

Credit: WSI Energy

Credit: WSI Energy

Sure, it’s still very warm, however the departures are being chipped away at over the UK with Ireland now average.

Interestingly, when you look back at the 30-day mean which includes the late June/start of July hot spell, the UK is average!

Credit: WSI Energy

Credit: WSI Energy

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

With this trend through the remainder of July (below), I’m guessing July averages normal, possibly a little below normal, especially over western and northern UK. The cold Atlantic continues to cast a shadow of us in 2015!

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Notice how the GFS gets colder and colder towards day 15!

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

This week looks to be the most unsettled for quite some time. Mild to at times warm in the South, cooler in the North.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

South of UK looks wettest through the first half of the week but it turns wettest in the north, drier (& warmer) in South late week into the weekend.

10-day rain totals off the QPF.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

With August looks like this below, we may have one of the coolest 3-month summer periods in several years!

euT2mMonInd1

See this morning’s video for the discussion.

[/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]

Follow us

Connect with Mark Vogan on social media to get notified about new posts and for the latest weather updates.

Subscribe via RSS Feed Connect on YouTube

Leave a Reply

Top