A Short, Sharp Burst Of Heat & Humidity For Western Europe, Cooler/More Unsettled Next Week!

Well it’s looking like a great week of weather for tennis and Wimbledon’s opening week with heat building into the upper 20s/low 30s as early as tomorrow. No change to the temperature forecast I’ve had for several days now.

Credit: weather.com

Credit: weather.com

I fully agree with the numbers the BBC have for the Mon-Thu period.

Credit: BBC Weather

Credit: BBC Weather

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The last rain-free or non delayed matches at Wimbledon was back in 2010 and while this week is looking good with plenty of warm, humid air, that humidity and close proximity of the front to the west means the thunderstorm risk is quite high and widespread, especially Wednesday as the heat and humidity peaks and the front edges closer.

That very front is responsible for bringing in the first ‘heat wave’ of summer but will also break it by Thursday. Unfortunately for those eking prolonged warmth, you need to head for the continental mainland. This weekend on into next week looks cooler and more unsettled.

Latest ECMWF surface through the next 10 days looks like this.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

ecmwfued---europe-144-A-mslpthkpcp_white

ecmwfued---europe-192-A-mslpthkpcp_white

ecmwfued---europe-240-A-mslpthkpcp_white

Modelling in the medium range are in good agreement about a slight weakening and ESE shift in the ridge next week. This will allow Northwest Europe to turn cooler and more unsettled.

ecmwfued-hgt--europe-120-A-500hgtanom_5d

ecmwfued-hgt--europe-240-A-500hgtanom_5d

So, in short, this is a short, sharp burst of warmth and humidity…

See video for the discussion and more detail on why thunderstorms are a widespread possibility.

SORRY FOR THE BRIEF AND RATHER LATE POST, I’M ON THE ROAD AND HAVING WI-FI ACCESS ISSUES.

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