Frigid Start To Thanksgiving As North Dakota Hits -28, Snowcover Recovers To 33%

Written by on November 27, 2014 in United States of America with 0 Comments

I forgot to mention in today’s video… Happy Thanksgiving to all and what a chilly one it is too. It hit -28 in Jamestown, ND while International Falls hit -19 this morning. -2 in the Twin Cities. All by far the coldest to date.

This morning’s lows.

Credit: weather.com

Credit: weather.com

Hasn’t warmed much today…

Credit: weather.com

Credit: weather.com

Here’s why.. just look at that arctic high…

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

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That arctic high is over the Northeast tonight.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Note the low thicknesses. 516 nearly down to NYC while 522 gets south of Cape May!

ecmwfued---usne-24-A-mslpthkpcp_white

Here’s national snow cover following the latest storm. Now at 33%

nsm_depth_2014112705_National

94% over the Northeast.

nsm_depth_2014112705_Northeast

With that high and low thicknesses settling over a widespread fresh snow cover tonight, I suspect these Friday morning lows may be too warm.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

It does warm up by 72 hours response to the AK trough and height rises in the eastern Lower 48.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

ecmwfued-hgt--namericawide-144-A-500hgtanom

Notice though that even by 72 hrs, heights are positive over AK and thus the deep trough and low heights over central Canada are poised to dive down the Plains yet again next week.

The trough comes and goes as the ridge gets quickly replaced by a trough over Alaska.

ecmwfued-hgt--namericawide-192-A-500hgtanom

IF we do see a decent recovery, based on all that’s going on… the question is how long does it last before the next trough comes calling?

THE MODELS ARE STRUGGLING TO SEE WHAT’S GOING ON. The below is a perfect example…

Check this out from the CFSv2 week 3 and 4. Complete garbage. Warm everywhere, yeah right…

wk3_wk4_20141126_NAsfcT

That kinda warmth up in Alaska suggests the opposite down over the Lower 48.

Here’s the 500mb anomalies.

wk3_wk4_20141126_z500

If you got that kinda positive from the West Coast to Newfoundland would mean a deeper, stronger trough over the Southeast US and not the warmth it has.

SEE VIDEO FOR MORE!

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