W EUROPE: Atlantic Low Draws In Azores Warmth This Week / November Chill Next Week

Written by on October 31, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

Ahead of the next approaching CF, we have unusually warm air flooding the UK today. Even up here in Scotland, though cloudy and damp, it’s very mild for the final day of October. The SE where sunshine breaks out, we’re talking LOW 20s!

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Balmy at 850mb

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

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Temps here are actually up into the 16-17C range this morning already and if sunshine comes out, especially in the east, the Scottish Halloween record of 19.3C set in Kinloss back in 2011 may be threatened.

Once that low crosses the UK this weekend, we’re back to reality and November!

Check out the low heights and much colder air on the backside of the weekend low.

Next Tue

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

850mb temps at 96 hrs (0z Tue)

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Big difference in 2 metre temps between this afternoon and Monday afternoon.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

We have a chilly high settling in mid next week so expect some cold November nights and cool, crisp days.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Denmark sits right in the boundary between some pretty cold air drilling down over Norway and mild to the south over Germany. Think you’ll find Denmark is in the battle this upcoming winter!

By next Friday, in comes this next wind and rain maker.. Watch out for some HEAVIER RAINS mid month on, England and Wales!

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Don’t be fooled by those hyping any cold blast coming… this pattern is ATLANTIC and no sign of any easterly developing until possibly later November or more likely December!

Hum, CFSv2 finally catching on to the ‘wetter’ November pattern… This has been what I’ve been saying since August!

euPrecMonInd1

CFSv2 continues with the warm, non blocking winter…

euT2mMonInd2

euT2mMonInd3

A somewhat more realistic Jamstec.

temp2_glob_DJF2015_1oct2014

Precip forecast shows N Atlantic block nicely!

tprep_glob_DJF2015_1oct2014

WINTER FORECAST COMES OUT TOMORROW AT 12 NOON! Stay tuned!!!

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