It’s certainly the windy day we anticipated here across Scotland as well as Ireland and the rest of the UK. Gusts have topped 108 mph over a snowy, bitterly cold Cairngorm Summit where it feels between -15 and -20 as I type.
Lot’s off bins blowing about the streets.
The system will continue to sweep in a cold, northwest air flow straight from Greenland but the flow turns westerly Wednesday/Thursday moderating things a bit but the next system this weekend look to send another surge of colder air our way following another batch of wind and rain. Our weather is coming from a source that was shivering at -51C this morning.
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This afternoon. Sunny but still very windy across the UK this afternoon while the main front pushes through Belgium, Netherlands and France. Flooding rain highly possible.
Thursday and there’s that more WESTERLY flow off the Atlantic. Milder with showers.
Here comes the neat system. Note it’s direction… coming out of the (maritime-polar) northwest. Following initial wind and rain, it turns cold but typically sunny with snow in the mountains.
The ECMWF appears to have the wind and rain bearing frontal boundary stuck over the UK. This could mean a few days of bad weather before the trough eventually drops south.
Even by 168 hrs, it’s still stationary over Scotland/northern England.
By Wednesday the front finally drops SE and we find ourselves in the cold NW flow. How cold? Nothing abnormal for late Oct standards put it that way.
If you lives at low levels, don’t expect an early taste of winter BUT up in the hills, well it’s looking like winter is finally on it’s way.
The 850 temps fall nicely behind the front and that should mean snow levels dropping to 2,000ft.
The pattern looks PROGRESSIVE into November but watch out on the backside of these lows, Greenland will turn colder as the NAO tries to go positive and that means a chilly slap in the face for us.
MORE TOMORROW. See video for discussion as always…
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