Huge Atlantic Low Steers Wind, Rain, Warmth Into UK, Eurasia Snowpack Is Growing!

Written by on October 14, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 2 Comments

There is strong indications that winter is beginning to show as mild, moist Atlantic air hits cold air that’s building over north, northeast Europe.

GFS 7 day snow forecast

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

ECMWF 7 day

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

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10 day

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Most of Siberia is already white and this will only expand in the coming weeks as cold expands and matures south.

cursnow_asiaeurope

We have a HUGE low currently taking up the majority of the North Atlantic Ocean with central pressure down into the 950s. It’s associated fronts will spread wind and rain across Ireland and the UK in sporadic form Wednesday on but new lows will form and push across the UK late week into the weekend.

Check out the shear size of this low on the MeteoEarth windstream chart.

Credit: MeteoEarth

Credit: MeteoEarth

It will also act as a giant heat pump, drawing on near ‘tropical’ air and shoving up all the way up into Southeast England. Expect highs of 21-23C around London Friday or Saturday!

Notice in the below surface charts that by the end of the week, the isobars streaming into the UK from the SW can be very near traced all the way back to the tropics, even beyond the Azores! Also notice the very low heights representing significant cold that’s diving into the NE portion of the continent.

ecmwfued---europe-96-A-mslpthkpcp_white

ecmwfued---europe-120-A-mslpthkpcp_white

The below 850mb charts show the warmth lifting north while cold dives south next 5-7 days. Unusual mild vs unusual cold with potential for significant snowfall over NW Russia, Baltics and possibly Scandinavia and Poland.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

ecmwfued---europe-168-A-850hgt

Interesting to see the GFS operational and ensemble showing a west to east ATLANTIC flow into Western Europe day 7-16 which means mild and wet!

GFS Ensemble

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Operational

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

No video tomorrow.

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2 Reader Comments

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  1. Mark Vogan says:

    Yes, especially late Oct and Nov. Just look at that low over the N Atlantic.

  2. Michael says:

    With the growing contrasts between warm and cold air I will say there is potential for a stormy period, Mark?

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